⚽ UEFA Champions League
Como vs Manchester United Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Como vs Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Como 4-1 Manchester United
Como vs Manchester United finished 4-1. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Como face Manchester United in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Como vs Manchester United with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Como win | 44% |
| Draw | 25% |
| Manchester United win | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Como vs Manchester United. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Como win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Como come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Manchester United. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Feyenoord.
- WComo 4-1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
- WFiorentina 1-3 ComoSerie A
- LFeyenoord 3-2 ComoUEFA Champions League
- DComo 0-0 AS RomaSerie A
- LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
Manchester United come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Como.
- LComo 4-1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
- DLeeds 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
- DManchester United 1-1 TottenhamPremier League
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 17 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. AddaiOff the roster
- T. ChalobahInjury
- A. DiaoThigh Injury
- E. GoldanigaOff the roster
- W. KambwalaOff the roster
- M. KeanLeg Injury
- A. LahdoOff the roster
- J. RodriguezInjury
- P. DorguHamstring Injury
- A. HeavenIllness
- K. MainooInjury
- L. MartinezMuscle Injury
- M. RashfordHip Injury
- B. SeskoLeg Injury
- L. ShawInjury
- M. UgarteKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Como at 44% to win and Manchester United at 31%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Como Win | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Manchester United Win | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Como or Draw | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Manchester United or Draw | 56% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Como or Manchester United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United +2 | 86% | 1.10 |
| Como +1.5 | 84% | 1.12 |
| Como +1.25 | 83% | 1.14 |
| Como +1 | 82% | 1.16 |
| Manchester United +1.75 | 80% | 1.18 |
| Manchester United +1.5 | 75% | 1.26 |
| Como +0.75 | 75% | 1.27 |
| Manchester United +1.25 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Manchester United +1 | 69% | 1.38 |
| Como +0.5 | 68% | 1.40 |
| Como +0.25 | 65% | 1.48 |
| Manchester United +0.75 | 61% | 1.55 |
| Como 0 | 59% | 1.62 |
| Manchester United +0.5 | 55% | 1.72 |
| Como -0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Manchester United +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
| Como -0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
| Manchester United 0 | 41% | 2.31 |
| Como -0.75 | 39% | 2.46 |
| Manchester United -0.25 | 35% | 2.69 |
| Manchester United -0.5 | 32% | 3.02 |
| Como -1 | 31% | 3.10 |
| Como -1.25 | 27% | 3.53 |
| Como -1.5 | 25% | 3.70 |
| Manchester United -0.75 | 25% | 3.73 |
| Como -1.75 | 20% | 4.65 |
| Manchester United -1 | 18% | 5.25 |
| Manchester United -1.25 | 17% | 5.75 |
| Manchester United -1.5 | 16% | 6.00 |
| Como -2 | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Como vs Manchester United?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Como win is the most likely result at 44%.
Who is the favourite for Como vs Manchester United?
Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Como vs Manchester United.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Manchester United?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Como and 1.40 for Manchester United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Como and Manchester United play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


