CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 13:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: CSKA Moscow 1-0 Fakel

CSKA Moscow vs Fakel finished 1-0. CSKA Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

CSKA Moscow face Fakel in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 13:15 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.34

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	9.9%	6.5%	2.8%	0.9%
1	9.6%	12.6%	8.3%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.1%	8.0%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%
3	2.6%	3.4%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

CSKA Moscow winDrawFakel win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

52%

Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Rostov.

WDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
WZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
LFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
DAkron 2-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League

Fakel

Fakel come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Spartak Moscow.

LSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
LFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

CSKA Moscow

I. AkinfeevMuscle Injury

Fakel

S. MagkeevMuscle Injury
M. TurishchevInjury

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	71%	@ 1.34
Over 1.5	73%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	52%	50%	@ 1.93
Over 2.5	48%	50%	@ 1.94
Under 1.5	27%	27%	@ 3.59
Over 3.5	26%	29%	@ 3.32

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for CSKA Moscow and 1.31 for Fakel. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CSKA Moscow and Fakel play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 13:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.