⚽ Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

CSKA Moscow face Lokomotiv in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, CSKA Moscow won 1, Lokomotiv won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.47

84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 0.82 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	10.1%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%
1	15.7%	12.9%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.0%	8.2%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
3	4.2%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

CSKA Moscow winDrawLokomotiv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a CSKA Moscow win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.24 (+46.1% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.24, 65% model probability, +46.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

CSKA Moscow 44%Draw 34%Lokomotiv 22%

44%34%22%

44%

CSKA Moscow Win

65%

Under 2.5 goals

+46.1%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv. Wins shown from CSKA Moscow’s perspective: CSKA Moscow 1 · Lokomotiv 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-07-14	Lokomotiv	1 – 0	CSKA Moscow	L
2026-05-17	CSKA Moscow	3 – 1	Lokomotiv	W

📈 Recent form

CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Fakel. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Akron.

LCSKA Moscow 0-1 AkronCup
WCSKA Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
DCSKA Moscow 0-0 FC RostovPremier League
DCSKA Moscow 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
WCSKA Moscow 2-1 BaltikaPremier League

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Xorazm. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Rostov.

WXorazm 1-3 LokomotivSuper League
LFC Rostov 1-0 LokomotivCup
LKokand-1912 2-1 LokomotivSuper League
DFC Orenburg 1-1 LokomotivPremier League
DLokomotiv 0-0 AkronPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

CSKA Moscow

I. AkinfeevMuscle Injury
Matheus ReisInjury

Lokomotiv

A. KarpukasNot in squad
N. KomlichenkoKnee Injury
C. MontesNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CSKA Moscow at 44% to win and Lokomotiv at 22%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	34%	@ 3.80	+27.5%
CSKA Moscow Win	44%	@ 1.91	-14.9%
Lokomotiv Win	22%	@ 3.78	-17.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	38%	@ 4.34	+65.9%
Under 2.5	65%	@ 2.24	+46.1%
Under 3.5	84%	@ 1.47	+23.6%
Over 1.5	62%	@ 1.21	-25.2%
Over 2.5	35%	@ 1.65	-42.6%
Over 3.5	16%	@ 2.67	-57.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	50%
Dixon-Coles	Draw	40%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.56 for the home side, 1.07 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (21%), 1-1 (17%), 1-0 (13%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.24 (+46.1% value).

Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

Our model makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.27 for CSKA Moscow and 0.82 for Lokomotiv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.