CSKA Moscow

Sat 22 Aug3-2Finished

Lokomotiv

⚽ Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv finished 3-2. CSKA Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

CSKA Moscow face Lokomotiv in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, CSKA Moscow won 2, Lokomotiv won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 0.82 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	10.1%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%
1	15.7%	12.9%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.0%	8.2%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
3	4.2%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

CSKA Moscow winDrawLokomotiv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a CSKA Moscow win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%).

📊 Key numbers

CSKA Moscow 44%Draw 34%Lokomotiv 22%

44%34%22%

44%

CSKA Moscow Win

65%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv. Wins shown from CSKA Moscow’s perspective: CSKA Moscow 2 · Lokomotiv 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	CSKA Moscow	3 – 2	Lokomotiv	W
2026-07-14	Lokomotiv	1 – 0	CSKA Moscow	L
2026-05-17	CSKA Moscow	3 – 1	Lokomotiv	W

📈 Recent form

CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Rostov.

WDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
WZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
LFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
DAkron 2-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Baltika. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Zenit.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
LZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
WBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DAkron 0-0 LokomotivCup
LLokomotiv 0-1 DynamoPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

CSKA Moscow

I. AkinfeevMuscle Injury
MoisesNot in squad

Lokomotiv

N. KomlichenkoKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CSKA Moscow at 44% to win and Lokomotiv at 22%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
CSKA Moscow Win	44%	50%	@ 1.93
Draw	34%	25%	@ 3.80
Lokomotiv Win	22%	25%	@ 3.82

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	84%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	65%	44%	@ 2.16
Over 1.5	62%	77%	@ 1.24
Under 1.5	38%	23%	@ 4.18
Over 2.5	35%	56%	@ 1.72
Over 3.5	16%	34%	@ 2.83

📈 How the market moved

CSKA Moscow 50%Draw 25%Lokomotiv 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

Our model makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.27 for CSKA Moscow and 0.82 for Lokomotiv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.