CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
Sat 12 Sep1-1Finished
RubinRubin

⚽ Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Rubin Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Result: CSKA Moscow 1-1 Rubin

CSKA Moscow vs Rubin finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

CSKA Moscow face Rubin in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: CSKA Moscow have 3 wins from their last 5, while Rubin have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.31
82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.00 – 1.19 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9%
2 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-1
CSKA Moscow winDrawRubin win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.31, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rubin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%).

📊 Key numbers

CSKA Moscow 29%Draw 33%Rubin 39%
29%33%39%
39%
Rubin Win
62%
Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between CSKA Moscow and Rubin. Wins shown from CSKA Moscow’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-12 CSKA Moscow 1 – 1 Rubin D
2026-04-25 Rubin 0 – 0 CSKA Moscow D

📈 Recent form

CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Rostov.

  • WDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • WZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
  • DAkron 2-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
Rubin

Rubin come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
  • DFC Orenburg 1-1 RubinCup
  • WRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

CSKA Moscow
  • D. BarinovNot in squad
  • M. GajicKnee Injury
  • MoisesNot in squad
Rubin
  • D. ShabanhaxhajNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CSKA Moscow at 29% to win and Rubin at 39%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Rubin Win 39% 18% @ 5.28
Draw 33% 25% @ 3.84
CSKA Moscow Win 29% 57% @ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 82% 73% @ 1.31
Over 1.5 64% 72% @ 1.33
Under 2.5 62% 52% @ 1.85
Over 2.5 38% 48% @ 2.03
Under 1.5 36% 28% @ 3.39
Over 3.5 18% 27% @ 3.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.31, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?

Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.2 scoreline for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 1.00 for CSKA Moscow and 1.19 for Rubin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CSKA Moscow and Rubin play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.