CSKA Moscow
Rubin⚽ Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Rubin Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.
Result: CSKA Moscow 1-1 Rubin
CSKA Moscow vs Rubin finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
CSKA Moscow face Rubin in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: CSKA Moscow have 3 wins from their last 5, while Rubin have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.31, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rubin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between CSKA Moscow and Rubin. Wins shown from CSKA Moscow’s perspective: 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | CSKA Moscow | 1 – 1 | Rubin | D |
| 2026-04-25 | Rubin | 0 – 0 | CSKA Moscow | D |
📈 Recent form
CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Rostov.
- WDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
- WZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- LFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
- DAkron 2-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
Rubin come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
- DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
- DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
- DFC Orenburg 1-1 RubinCup
- WRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. BarinovNot in squad
- M. GajicKnee Injury
- MoisesNot in squad
- D. ShabanhaxhajNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CSKA Moscow at 29% to win and Rubin at 39%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Win | 39% | 18% | @ 5.28 |
| Draw | 33% | 25% | @ 3.84 |
| CSKA Moscow Win | 29% | 57% | @ 1.68 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 52% | @ 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 48% | @ 2.03 |
| Under 1.5 | 36% | 28% | @ 3.39 |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.31, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.2 scoreline for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 1.00 for CSKA Moscow and 1.19 for Rubin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CSKA Moscow and Rubin play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
