EibarEibar
Sun 27 Sep3-2Finished
Las PalmasLas Palmas

⚽ Segunda División

Eibar vs Las Palmas Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eibar vs Las Palmas in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Eibar 3-2 Las Palmas

Eibar vs Las Palmas finished 3-2. Eibar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Eibar face Las Palmas in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Eibar have 5 wins from their last 5, while Las Palmas have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Eibar won 2. The bookmaker market makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 48%, implying a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eibar vs Las Palmas with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Eibar win 48%
Draw 28%
Las Palmas win 24%
Over 2.5 goals 49%
Both teams to score 54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.55 – 1.05 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 11.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6%
2 8.9% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
3 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Eibar winDrawLas Palmas win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Eibar vs Las Palmas. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Eibar win is the most likely result at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Eibar 48%Draw 28%Las Palmas 24%
48%28%24%
48%
Eibar Win
51%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Eibar and Las Palmas. Wins shown from Eibar’s perspective: Eibar 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-27 Eibar 3 – 2 Las Palmas W
2026-03-29 Eibar 3 – 1 Las Palmas W

📈 Recent form

Eibar

Eibar come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
  • WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
  • WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División
  • WEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Cadiz. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Eibar.

  • LEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
  • WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Eibar at 48% to win and Las Palmas at 24%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes an Eibar win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Eibar Win 48% @ 1.95
Draw 28% @ 3.30
Las Palmas Win 23% @ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eibar or Draw at 1.22 (76% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Eibar or Draw 77% @ 1.22
Las Palmas or Draw 52% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 73% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 71% @ 1.33
Under 2.5 51% @ 1.85
Over 2.5 49% @ 1.95
Over 3.5 29% @ 3.25
Under 1.5 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 46% @ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Eibar or Las Palmas is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Eibar +0.75 81% 1.17
Las Palmas +1.75 79% 1.20
Las Palmas +1.5 73% 1.31
Las Palmas +1.25 69% 1.38
Las Palmas +1 65% 1.46
Eibar -0.25 58% 1.67
Las Palmas +0.75 57% 1.69
Eibar -0.5 51% 1.91
Las Palmas +0.5 49% 1.95
Eibar -0.75 43% 2.21
Las Palmas +0.25 42% 2.25
Eibar -1 35% 2.74
Eibar -1.25 31% 3.10
Eibar -1.5 27% 3.48
Eibar -1.75 21% 4.40
Las Palmas -0.75 19% 5.00

📈 How the market moved

18%35%53%09/2209/2309/2409/2509/2609/27

Eibar 49%Draw 29%Las Palmas 23%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs Las Palmas?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Eibar win is the most likely result at 48%.

Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Las Palmas?

Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Eibar vs Las Palmas.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Las Palmas?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Eibar and 1.05 for Las Palmas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Eibar and Las Palmas play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.