EldenseEldense
Fri 2 Oct4-1Finished
OviedoOviedo

⚽ Segunda División

Eldense vs Oviedo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eldense vs Oviedo in the Segunda División. Kick-off Friday 02 October 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Eldense 4-1 Oviedo

Eldense vs Oviedo finished 4-1. Eldense won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Eldense face Oviedo in the Segunda División, kicking off Friday 02 October 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Eldense have 1 win from their last 5, while Oviedo have 2 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Eldense win the most likely result at 34%, implying a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eldense vs Oviedo with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Eldense win 34%
Draw 31%
Oviedo win 34%
Over 2.5 goals 38%
Both teams to score 44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.10 – 1.10 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 11.1% 12.2% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7%
2 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
3 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-1
Eldense winDrawOviedo win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Eldense vs Oviedo. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Eldense win is the most likely result at 34%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Eldense 34%Draw 31%Oviedo 34%
34%31%34%
34%
Eldense Win
62%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Eldense

Eldense come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Oviedo. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Burgos.

  • WEldense 4-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • LBurgos 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
  • LEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
  • WSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
  • DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
Oviedo

Oviedo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Valladolid. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Eldense.

  • LEldense 4-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • WOviedo 2-0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
  • LSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • WValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
  • DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Eldense at 34% to win and Oviedo at 34%, with the draw at 31%. The bookmaker market makes an Eldense win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Eldense Win 34% @ 2.75
Oviedo Win 34% @ 2.75
Draw 31% @ 3.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eldense or Draw at 1.40 (66% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Eldense or Draw 66% @ 1.40
Oviedo or Draw 66% @ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 81% @ 1.17
Over 1.5 62% @ 1.50
Under 2.5 62% @ 1.50
Under 1.5 38% @ 2.50
Over 2.5 38% @ 2.50
Over 3.5 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 56% @ 1.67
BTTS Yes 44% @ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Eldense or Oviedo is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Oviedo +1.5 85% 1.12
Eldense +1.5 85% 1.12
Oviedo +1.25 83% 1.14
Eldense +1.25 83% 1.14
Oviedo +1 81% 1.18
Eldense +0.75 73% 1.30
Oviedo +0.75 72% 1.32
Eldense +0.5 66% 1.45
Oviedo +0.5 65% 1.48
Eldense +0.25 60% 1.59
Oviedo +0.25 58% 1.64
Eldense 0 52% 1.85
Oviedo 0 48% 2.00
Eldense -0.25 42% 2.30
Oviedo -0.25 40% 2.38
Eldense -0.5 35% 2.70
Oviedo -0.5 34% 2.79
Eldense -0.75 28% 3.43
Oviedo -0.75 27% 3.57
Eldense -1 19% 5.04
Eldense -1.25 17% 5.75
Oviedo -1.25 17% 5.75
Eldense -1.5 15% 6.25
Oviedo -1.5 15% 6.25

📈 How the market moved

26%33%40%09/2809/2909/3010/0110/02

Eldense 35%Draw 31%Oviedo 34%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eldense vs Oviedo?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Eldense win is the most likely result at 34%.

Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Oviedo?

Our model makes an Eldense win the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Eldense vs Oviedo.

What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Oviedo?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for Eldense and 1.10 for Oviedo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Eldense and Oviedo play?

Kick-off is Friday 02 October 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.