Fakel

Sat 12 Sep2-2Finished

Baltika

⚽ Premier League

Fakel vs Baltika Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fakel vs Baltika in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fakel 2-2 Baltika

Fakel vs Baltika finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 2.5 goals at 1.49, did not land.

Fakel face Baltika in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: Fakel have no wins from their last 5, while Baltika have 2 wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fakel vs Baltika with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.45

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.52 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	20.4%	21.8%	11.7%	4.2%	1.1%
1	10.6%	11.3%	6.1%	2.2%	0.6%
2	2.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
3	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Fakel winDrawBaltika win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fakel vs Baltika comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.45, with a 79% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (79%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

79%

Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Fakel

Fakel come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Spartak Moscow.

LSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
LFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

Baltika

Baltika come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Zenit.

LBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
WRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fakel

I. AlshinInjury

Baltika

A. FilinKnee Injury

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	92%	83%	@ 1.15
Under 2.5	79%	66%	@ 1.45
Under 1.5	53%	39%	@ 2.46
Over 1.5	47%	61%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	21%	34%	@ 2.82
Over 3.5	8%	17%	@ 5.63

📈 How the market moved

Fakel 27%Draw 33%Baltika 40%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Baltika?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.45, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Baltika?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.52 for Fakel and 1.07 for Baltika. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fakel and Baltika play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.