Fakel vs Zenit Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fakel vs Zenit in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fakel 0-1 Zenit

Fakel vs Zenit finished 0-1. Zenit won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Fakel face Zenit in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Fakel have no wins from their last 5, while Zenit have 3 wins from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fakel vs Zenit with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.48 – 1.89 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	17.7%	16.7%	10.5%	5.0%
1	4.5%	8.5%	8.0%	5.0%	2.4%
2	1.1%	2.0%	1.9%	1.2%	0.6%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Fakel winDrawZenit win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fakel vs Zenit comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

58%

Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Fakel

Fakel come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Spartak Moscow.

LSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LFC Rostov 3-1 FakelPremier League
DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
LFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

Zenit

Zenit come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to CSKA Moscow.

WBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
WZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
LZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
WZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
WFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fakel

S. MagkeevMuscle Injury

Zenit

M. GlushenkovSuspended (red card)
WendelNot in squad

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.5-1.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	74%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	68%	71%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	58%	53%	@ 1.83
Over 2.5	42%	47%	@ 2.05
Under 1.5	32%	29%	@ 3.28
Over 3.5	22%	26%	@ 3.62

📈 How the market moved

Fakel 14%Draw 23%Zenit 63%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Zenit?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Zenit?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.48 for Fakel and 1.89 for Zenit. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fakel and Zenit play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.