FC Krasnodar

Sat 15 Aug1-0Finished

Akhmat

⚽ Premier League

FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Krasnodar 1-0 Akhmat

FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat finished 1-0. FC Krasnodar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Krasnodar face Akhmat in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Krasnodar won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 2.3-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Krasnodar Win @ 1.55

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.30 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
1	8.8%	8.5%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.2%	9.7%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	7.8%	7.5%	3.6%	1.1%	0.3%
4	4.5%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

FC Krasnodar winDrawAkhmat win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is a FC Krasnodar win at odds 1.55, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Krasnodar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Krasnodar 66%Draw 21%Akhmat 14%

66%21%14%

66%

FC Krasnodar Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Krasnodar and Akhmat. Wins shown from FC Krasnodar’s perspective: FC Krasnodar 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-15	FC Krasnodar	1 – 0	Akhmat	W
2026-04-04	Akhmat	0 – 1	FC Krasnodar	W

📈 Recent form

FC Krasnodar

FC Krasnodar come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Rostov.

DFC Orenburg 0-0 FC KrasnodarPremier League
DFC Krasnodar 1-1 AkronPremier League
DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
WFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League

Akhmat

Akhmat come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Akron.

LAkron 2-0 AkhmatPremier League
WAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
LDynamo 3-0 AkhmatCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Krasnodar

J. CordobaMuscle Injury

Akhmat

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Krasnodar at 66% to win and Akhmat at 14%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Krasnodar Win	66%	61%	@ 1.55
Draw	21%	22%	@ 4.25
Akhmat Win	14%	17%	@ 5.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	77%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	63%	55%	@ 1.74
Under 3.5	59%	67%	@ 1.43
Over 3.5	41%	33%	@ 2.84
Under 2.5	37%	45%	@ 2.12
Under 1.5	16%	23%	@ 4.08

📈 How the market moved

FC Krasnodar 61%Draw 22%Akhmat 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?

Our model's main pick is a FC Krasnodar win at odds 1.55, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?

Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.0 scoreline for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat.

What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.30 for FC Krasnodar and 0.96 for Akhmat. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Krasnodar and Akhmat play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.