Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar⚽ Premier League
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Result: Krylia Sovetov 2-2 FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Krylia Sovetov face FC Krasnodar in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: Krylia Sovetov have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Krasnodar have 5 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.0-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Krasnodar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.
- DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- WKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
- DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
- DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
FC Krasnodar come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Rostov.
- DFC Orenburg 0-0 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- DFC Krasnodar 1-1 AkronPremier League
- DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
- WFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. BanjacInjury
- N. KrivtsovNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Krylia Sovetov at 18% to win and FC Krasnodar at 58%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar Win | 58% | 56% | @ 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | @ 4.04 |
| Krylia Sovetov Win | 18% | 20% | @ 4.84 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 77% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 68% | @ 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 54% | @ 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 46% | @ 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.
Who is the favourite for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.9 scoreline for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.92 for FC Krasnodar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
