⚽ Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Krylia Sovetov face FC Krasnodar in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: Krylia Sovetov have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Krasnodar have 5 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.0-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.96 – 1.92 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	10.8%	10.3%	6.6%	3.2%
1	5.4%	10.3%	9.9%	6.4%	3.1%
2	2.6%	5.0%	4.8%	3.1%	1.5%
3	0.8%	1.6%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Krylia Sovetov winDrawFC Krasnodar win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Krasnodar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a FC Krasnodar win at odds 1.72 (+0.4% model value).

Best value

FC Krasnodar Win at odds 1.72, 58% model probability, +0.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Krylia Sovetov 18%Draw 24%FC Krasnodar 58%

18%24%58%

58%

FC Krasnodar Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

+0.4%

Best value: FC Krasnodar Win

📈 Recent form

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Akron. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala.

DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
WAkron 0-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
DKrylia Sovetov 0-0 ZenitCup
LKrylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League

FC Krasnodar

FC Krasnodar come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Rostov. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DFakel 1-1 FC KrasnodarCup
WFC Krasnodar 1-0 FC RostovPremier League
WDinamo Makhachkala 0-1 FC KrasnodarPremier League
WDynamo 0-1 FC KrasnodarCup
WFC Krasnodar 1-0 AkhmatPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Krylia Sovetov

No absentees reported.

FC Krasnodar

N. KrivtsovNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Krylia Sovetov at 18% to win and FC Krasnodar at 58%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Krasnodar Win	58%	@ 1.72	+0.4%
Draw	24%	@ 4.04	-3.3%
Krylia Sovetov Win	18%	@ 4.84	-14.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.79	-1.7%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.25	-2.2%
Over 3.5	33%	@ 3.00	-2.2%
Under 3.5	67%	@ 1.41	-4.9%
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.09	-5.8%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.10	-10.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	50%
Dixon-Coles	Away	67%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 0.92 for the home side, 1.84 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a FC Krasnodar win at 1.72 (+0.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?

Our model makes a FC Krasnodar win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.9 scoreline for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.92 for FC Krasnodar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.