Krylia Sovetov

Fri 11 Sep2-1Finished

Rodina Moskva

⚽ Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Krylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina Moskva

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva finished 2-1. Krylia Sovetov won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.74, landed.

Krylia Sovetov face Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Krylia Sovetov have 1 win from their last 5, while Rodina Moskva have 1 win from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.74

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.54 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	5.6%	7.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
2	7.1%	9.1%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
3	6.0%	7.7%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
4	3.8%	4.9%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Krylia Sovetov winDrawRodina Moskva win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.74, with a 73% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

73%

Over 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
WKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League

Rodina Moskva

Rodina Moskva come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Krylia Sovetov.

DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
LKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
LRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Krylia Sovetov

No absentees reported.

Rodina Moskva

G. OnugkhaSuspended (red card)

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	77%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	73%	55%	@ 1.74
Over 3.5	53%	33%	@ 2.93
Under 3.5	47%	67%	@ 1.42
Under 2.5	27%	45%	@ 2.13
Under 1.5	11%	23%	@ 4.15

📈 How the market moved

Krylia Sovetov 50%Draw 26%Rodina Moskva 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.74, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.54 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.27 for Rodina Moskva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Krylia Sovetov and Rodina Moskva play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.