⚽ Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Krylia Sovetov face Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Krylia Sovetov have 1 win from their last 5, while Rodina Moskva have 1 win from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.74

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.54 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	5.6%	7.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
2	7.1%	9.1%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
3	6.0%	7.7%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
4	3.8%	4.9%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Krylia Sovetov winDrawRodina Moskva win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.74, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

73%

Over 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Akron.

DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
WAkron 0-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
DKrylia Sovetov 0-0 ZenitCup

Rodina Moskva

Rodina Moskva come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Dinamo Makhachkala.

LDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
LRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League
LDynamo 3-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LRodina Moskva 1-4 FC OrenburgCup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Krylia Sovetov

M. BanjacInjury

Rodina Moskva

G. OnugkhaSuspended (red card)

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	89%	@ 1.24	n/a
Under 1.5	11%	@ 4.15	n/a
Over 2.5	73%	@ 1.74	n/a
Under 2.5	27%	@ 2.13	n/a
Over 3.5	53%	@ 2.93	n/a
Under 3.5	47%	@ 1.42	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	65%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.95 for the home side, 0.86 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.74, with 73% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.54 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.27 for Rodina Moskva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Krylia Sovetov and Rodina Moskva play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.