Las Palmas

Sat 17 Oct0-3Finished

Castellón

⚽ Segunda División

Las Palmas vs Castellón Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Las Palmas vs Castellón in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Las Palmas 0-3 Castellón

Las Palmas vs Castellón finished 0-3. Castellón won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Las Palmas face Castellón in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Las Palmas have 1 win from their last 5, while Castellón have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.2-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Las Palmas vs Castellón with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Las Palmas win	26%
Draw	26%
Castellón win	47%
Over 2.5 goals	57%
Both teams to score	59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	8.9%	7.6%	4.3%	1.8%
1	6.5%	11.1%	9.5%	5.4%	2.3%
2	4.1%	7.0%	5.9%	3.3%	1.4%
3	1.7%	2.9%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.5%	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Las Palmas winDrawCastellón win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Las Palmas vs Castellón. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Las Palmas 26%Draw 26%Castellón 47%

26%26%47%

47%

Castellón Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Castellón.

LLas Palmas 0-3 CastellónSegunda División
LMallorca 3-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DLas Palmas 2-2 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tenerife. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Andorra.

WLas Palmas 0-3 CastellónSegunda División
LFC Andorra 1-0 CastellónSegunda División
DCastellón 1-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
WLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Las Palmas at 26% to win and Castellón at 47%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón Win	47%	@ 2.00
Las Palmas Win	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón or Draw	74%	@ 1.28
Las Palmas or Draw	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.18
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Las Palmas 27%Draw 26%Castellón 47%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Castellón?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Castellón?

Our model makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.7 scoreline for Las Palmas vs Castellón.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Castellón?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Las Palmas and 1.70 for Castellón. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Las Palmas and Castellón play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.