Las Palmas
Valladolid⚽ Segunda División
Las Palmas vs Valladolid Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Las Palmas vs Valladolid in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Las Palmas 2-2 Valladolid
Las Palmas vs Valladolid finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Las Palmas face Valladolid in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Las Palmas have 1 win from their last 5, while Valladolid have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 43%, implying a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Las Palmas vs Valladolid with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 43% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Valladolid win | 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Las Palmas vs Valladolid. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Las Palmas win is the most likely result at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Las Palmas and Valladolid. Wins shown from Las Palmas’s perspective: Las Palmas 2 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Las Palmas | 2 – 2 | Valladolid | D |
| 2026-05-03 | Las Palmas | 2 – 1 | Valladolid | W |
| 2025-02-28 | Valladolid | 1 – 1 | Las Palmas | D |
| 2024-12-07 | Las Palmas | 2 – 1 | Valladolid | W |
📈 Recent form
Las Palmas come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Cadiz. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Eibar.
- DLas Palmas 2-2 ValladolidSegunda División
- LEibar 3-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
- LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
- WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
- DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
Valladolid come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Cordoba. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Oviedo.
- DLas Palmas 2-2 ValladolidSegunda División
- WValladolid 3-1 CordobaSegunda División
- DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
- LValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
- WValladolid 1-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Las Palmas at 43% to win and Valladolid at 27%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas Win | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Valladolid Win | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.28 (73% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas or Draw | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Valladolid or Draw | 57% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Las Palmas or Valladolid is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas +1.25 | 86% | 1.10 |
| Las Palmas +1 | 85% | 1.12 |
| Valladolid +1.75 | 83% | 1.14 |
| Las Palmas +0.75 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Valladolid +1.5 | 78% | 1.21 |
| Valladolid +1.25 | 76% | 1.26 |
| Valladolid +1 | 73% | 1.31 |
| Las Palmas +0.5 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Las Palmas +0.25 | 67% | 1.43 |
| Valladolid +0.75 | 64% | 1.50 |
| Las Palmas 0 | 60% | 1.58 |
| Valladolid +0.5 | 57% | 1.67 |
| Las Palmas -0.25 | 50% | 1.92 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Las Palmas -0.5 | 43% | 2.23 |
| Valladolid 0 | 40% | 2.40 |
| Las Palmas -0.75 | 36% | 2.63 |
| Valladolid -0.25 | 33% | 2.88 |
| Valladolid -0.5 | 29% | 3.32 |
| Las Palmas -1 | 27% | 3.48 |
| Las Palmas -1.25 | 24% | 3.88 |
| Las Palmas -1.5 | 22% | 4.25 |
| Valladolid -0.75 | 22% | 4.30 |
| Las Palmas -1.75 | 17% | 5.75 |
| Valladolid -1 | 15% | 6.40 |
| Valladolid -1.25 | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Las Palmas win is the most likely result at 43%.
Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Las Palmas vs Valladolid.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Las Palmas and 1.05 for Valladolid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Las Palmas and Valladolid play?
Kick-off is Sunday 04 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
RB Leipzigvs
PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.