Leganes

Mon 28 Sep0-2Finished

Castellón

⚽ Segunda División

Leganes vs Castellón Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leganes vs Castellón in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 28 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Leganes 0-2 Castellón

Leganes vs Castellón finished 0-2. Castellón won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Leganes face Castellón in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 28 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Leganes have 3 wins from their last 5, while Castellón have 4 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 42%, implying a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leganes vs Castellón with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Leganes win	30%
Draw	28%
Castellón win	42%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	10.2%	7.4%	3.6%	1.3%
1	8.5%	12.3%	8.9%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.1%	7.4%	5.3%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.0%	3.0%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Leganes winDrawCastellón win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Leganes vs Castellón. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Leganes 30%Draw 28%Castellón 42%

30%28%42%

42%

Castellón Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Castellón.

LLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
WLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tenerife.

WLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leganes at 30% to win and Castellón at 42%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Castellón win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón Win	42%	@ 2.25
Leganes Win	30%	@ 3.10
Draw	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Castellón or Draw at 1.36 (70% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón or Draw	70%	@ 1.36
Leganes or Draw	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Leganes or Castellón is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Castellón +1.5	85%	1.12
Castellón +1.25	84%	1.12
Castellón +1	83%	1.14
Leganes +1.75	83%	1.14
Leganes +1.5	78%	1.21
Leganes +1.25	76%	1.25
Leganes +1	73%	1.30
Castellón +0.5	69%	1.38
Castellón +0.25	65%	1.48
Leganes +0.75	64%	1.49
Castellón 0	59%	1.63
Leganes +0.5	57%	1.66
Leganes +0.25	51%	1.88
Castellón -0.25	49%	1.97
Castellón -0.5	43%	2.25
Leganes 0	41%	2.30
Castellón -0.75	36%	2.67
Leganes -0.25	35%	2.70
Leganes -0.5	31%	3.12
Castellón -1	27%	3.54
Castellón -1.25	24%	3.96
Castellón -1.5	22%	4.25
Leganes -1	17%	5.75
Castellón -1.75	17%	5.75
Leganes -1.25	16%	6.00
Leganes -1.5	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

Leganes 30%Draw 28%Castellón 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Castellón?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Castellón win is the most likely result at 42%.

Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Castellón?

Our model makes a Castellón win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Leganes vs Castellón.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Castellón?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Leganes and 1.45 for Castellón. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leganes and Castellón play?

Kick-off is Monday 28 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.