LeganesLeganes
Sun 20 Sep3-2Finished
Granada CFGranada CF

⚽ Segunda División

Leganes vs Granada CF Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leganes vs Granada CF in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Leganes 3-2 Granada CF

Leganes vs Granada CF finished 3-2. Leganes won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Leganes face Granada CF in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Leganes have 2 wins from their last 5, while Granada CF have 2 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.4-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leganes vs Granada CF with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Leganes win 47%
Draw 30%
Granada CF win 23%
Over 2.5 goals 39%
Both teams to score 46%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.35 – 0.85 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 11.1% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 15.0% 12.7% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Leganes winDrawGranada CF win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Leganes vs Granada CF. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams to score: no at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Leganes 47%Draw 30%Granada CF 23%
47%30%23%
47%
Leganes Win
61%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Tenerife.

  • WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
  • LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • WLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
  • WOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División
Granada CF

Granada CF come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Leganes.

  • LLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
  • DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • LEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
  • WCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
  • WGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leganes at 47% to win and Granada CF at 23%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Leganes win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Leganes Win 47% @ 2.00
Draw 30% @ 3.10
Granada CF Win 23% @ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leganes or Draw at 1.22 (77% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Leganes or Draw 77% @ 1.22
Granada CF or Draw 53% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 79% @ 1.18
Over 1.5 65% @ 1.44
Under 2.5 61% @ 1.53
Over 2.5 39% @ 2.40
Under 1.5 35% @ 2.62
Over 3.5 21% @ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 54% @ 1.73
BTTS Yes 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

19%35%51%09/1509/1609/1709/1809/1909/20

Leganes 46%Draw 30%Granada CF 23%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Granada CF?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Leganes win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Granada CF?

Our model makes a Leganes win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline for Leganes vs Granada CF.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Granada CF?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Leganes and 0.85 for Granada CF. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leganes and Granada CF play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.