Mallorca

Sun 27 Sep0-1Finished

Almeria

⚽ Segunda División

Mallorca vs Almeria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mallorca vs Almeria in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mallorca 0-1 Almeria

Mallorca vs Almeria finished 0-1. Almeria won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Mallorca face Almeria in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Mallorca have 3 wins from their last 5, while Almeria have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Almeria won 1, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Mallorca win the most likely result at 45%, implying a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mallorca vs Almeria with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Mallorca win	45%
Draw	28%
Almeria win	27%
Over 2.5 goals	49%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.50 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.2%	4.5%	1.6%	0.5%
1	11.1%	12.3%	6.7%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.2%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.2%	4.6%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Mallorca winDrawAlmeria win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Mallorca vs Almeria. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Mallorca win is the most likely result at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Mallorca 45%Draw 28%Almeria 27%

45%28%27%

45%

Mallorca Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Mallorca and Almeria. Wins shown from Mallorca’s perspective: 2 drawn · Almeria 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-27	Mallorca	0 – 1	Almeria	L
2024-05-19	Mallorca	2 – 2	Almeria	D
2023-12-17	Almeria	0 – 0	Mallorca	D

📈 Recent form

Mallorca

Mallorca come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Almeria.

LMallorca 0-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
WMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
WMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sabadell.

WMallorca 0-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
WCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
LSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
LTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mallorca at 45% to win and Almeria at 27%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Mallorca win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Mallorca Win	45%	@ 2.10
Draw	28%	@ 3.30
Almeria Win	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mallorca or Draw at 1.28 (73% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Mallorca or Draw	73%	@ 1.28
Almeria or Draw	55%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Over 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Mallorca or Almeria is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Mallorca +1.25	86%	1.10
Mallorca +1	86%	1.10
Almeria +1.75	81%	1.17
Almeria +1.5	76%	1.25
Almeria +1.25	73%	1.30
Mallorca +0.25	70%	1.37
Almeria +1	69%	1.38
Mallorca 0	64%	1.49
Almeria +0.75	61%	1.56
Almeria +0.5	54%	1.77
Mallorca -0.25	54%	1.79
Almeria +0.25	46%	2.06
Mallorca -0.5	46%	2.08
Mallorca -0.75	39%	2.42
Almeria 0	36%	2.64
Mallorca -1	31%	3.08
Almeria -0.25	30%	3.17
Mallorca -1.25	27%	3.52
Mallorca -1.5	24%	3.87
Mallorca -1.75	19%	5.00
Almeria -1	14%	6.80
Almeria -1.25	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Mallorca 45%Draw 29%Almeria 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Almeria?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Mallorca win is the most likely result at 45%.

Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Almeria?

Our model makes a Mallorca win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Mallorca vs Almeria.

What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Almeria?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Mallorca and 1.10 for Almeria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mallorca and Almeria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.