MontpellierMontpellier
Fri 9 Oct2-0Finished
GrenobleGrenoble

⚽ Ligue 2

Montpellier vs Grenoble Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Montpellier vs Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Result: Montpellier 2-0 Grenoble

Montpellier vs Grenoble finished 2-0. Montpellier won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Montpellier face Grenoble in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Montpellier have 2 wins from their last 5, while Grenoble have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Montpellier won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 1.7-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Montpellier vs Grenoble with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Montpellier win 58%
Draw 26%
Grenoble win 16%
Over 2.5 goals 46%
Both teams to score 46%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.70 – 0.80 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 14.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2%
2 11.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 6.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Montpellier winDrawGrenoble win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Montpellier vs Grenoble. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams to score: no at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Montpellier 58%Draw 26%Grenoble 16%
58%26%16%
58%
Montpellier Win
54%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Montpellier and Grenoble. Wins shown from Montpellier’s perspective: Montpellier 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-09 Montpellier 2 – 0 Grenoble W
2026-04-17 Montpellier 2 – 1 Grenoble W

📈 Recent form

Montpellier

Montpellier come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Grenoble. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Saint Etienne.

  • WMontpellier 2-0 GrenobleLigue 2
  • DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
  • WMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
  • LSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
  • DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
Grenoble

Grenoble come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Rodez. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Montpellier.

  • LMontpellier 2-0 GrenobleLigue 2
  • DGrenoble 0-0 Stade Lausanne-OuchyFriendlies Clubs
  • DGrenoble 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • WRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
  • LGrenoble 1-2 AnnecyLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Montpellier at 58% to win and Grenoble at 16%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Montpellier Win 58% @ 1.55
Draw 26% @ 3.50
Grenoble Win 16% @ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.12 (84% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Montpellier or Draw 84% @ 1.12
Grenoble or Draw 42% @ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 73% @ 1.28
Over 1.5 72% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 54% @ 1.75
Over 2.5 46% @ 2.05
Under 1.5 28% @ 3.40
Over 3.5 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 54% @ 1.73
BTTS Yes 46% @ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Montpellier or Grenoble is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Montpellier +0.5 83% 1.14
Montpellier +0.25 81% 1.18
Grenoble +2 79% 1.20
Montpellier 0 78% 1.22
Grenoble +1.75 72% 1.32
Montpellier -0.25 67% 1.41
Grenoble +1.5 65% 1.45
Grenoble +1.25 60% 1.57
Montpellier -0.5 60% 1.61
Grenoble +1 54% 1.76
Montpellier -0.75 54% 1.77
Grenoble +0.75 46% 2.07
Montpellier -1 46% 2.08
Grenoble +0.5 40% 2.39
Montpellier -1.25 40% 2.41
Montpellier -1.5 35% 2.75
Grenoble +0.25 33% 2.92
Montpellier -1.75 28% 3.40
Grenoble 0 22% 4.32
Montpellier -2 21% 4.57
Grenoble -0.25 19% 5.01
Grenoble -0.5 17% 5.75

📈 How the market moved

12%38%63%10/0410/0510/0610/0710/0810/09

Montpellier 59%Draw 25%Grenoble 16%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Grenoble?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Montpellier win is the most likely result at 58%.

Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Grenoble?

Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline for Montpellier vs Grenoble.

What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Grenoble?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Montpellier and 0.80 for Grenoble. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Montpellier and Grenoble play?

Kick-off is Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.