Rodina Moskva vs Baltika Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

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Result: Rodina Moskva 0-3 Baltika

Rodina Moskva vs Baltika finished 0-3. Baltika won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Rodina Moskva face Baltika in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Rodina Moskva have 1 win from their last 5, while Baltika have 2 wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.31

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.33 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	9.3%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
1	9.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.3%	8.3%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.8%	3.7%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Rodina Moskva winDrawBaltika win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.31, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

51%

Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Rodina Moskva

Rodina Moskva come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Krylia Sovetov.

DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
LKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
LRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

Baltika

Baltika come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Zenit.

LBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
WRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Rodina Moskva

No absentees reported.

Baltika

E. CivicNot in squad
A. FilinKnee Injury
M. ShnaptsevNot in squad

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	73%	@ 1.31
Under 3.5	73%	74%	@ 1.29
Under 2.5	51%	52%	@ 1.87
Over 2.5	49%	48%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	27%	26%	@ 3.63
Under 1.5	26%	27%	@ 3.52

📈 How the market moved

Rodina Moskva 25%Draw 28%Baltika 48%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.31, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Rodina Moskva and 1.31 for Baltika. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rodina Moskva and Baltika play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.