Spartak Moscow

Sun 23 Aug2-0Finished

Zenit

⚽ Premier League

Spartak Moscow vs Zenit Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Spartak Moscow 2-0 Zenit

Spartak Moscow vs Zenit finished 2-0. Spartak Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Spartak Moscow face Zenit in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Spartak Moscow have 2 wins from their last 3, while Zenit have 2 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 0.6-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.29

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.60 – 2.21 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	13.3%	14.7%	10.8%	6.0%
1	3.6%	8.0%	8.8%	6.5%	3.6%
2	1.1%	2.4%	2.6%	1.9%	1.1%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-2

Spartak Moscow winDrawZenit win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Zenit win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Spartak Moscow 8%Draw 19%Zenit 72%

19%72%

72%

Zenit Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to FC Rostov. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dynamo.

WSpartak Moscow 1-0 FakelPremier League
WSpartak Moscow 3-0 FC RostovPremier League
LDynamo 2-1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
WSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
DSpartak Moscow 1-1 FC OrenburgPremier League

Zenit

Zenit come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to CSKA Moscow.

WBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
WZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
LZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
WZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
WFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Spartak Moscow

C. MartinsNot in squad
D. ZorinAchilles Tendon Injury

Zenit

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Spartak Moscow at 8% to win and Zenit at 72%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Zenit Win	72%	38%	@ 2.55
Draw	19%	28%	@ 3.44
Spartak Moscow Win	8%	34%	@ 2.81

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.6-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	74%	@ 1.29
Under 3.5	69%	72%	@ 1.32
Over 2.5	53%	49%	@ 1.97
Under 2.5	47%	51%	@ 1.90
Over 3.5	31%	28%	@ 3.43
Under 1.5	23%	26%	@ 3.66

📈 How the market moved

Spartak Moscow 34%Draw 28%Zenit 38%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit?

Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 0.6-2.2 scoreline for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Zenit?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.60 for Spartak Moscow and 2.21 for Zenit. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Spartak Moscow and Zenit play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.