ZenitZenit
Sat 5 Sep1-2Finished
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow

⚽ Premier League

Zenit vs CSKA Moscow Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Result: Zenit 1-2 CSKA Moscow

Zenit vs CSKA Moscow finished 1-2. CSKA Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Zenit face CSKA Moscow in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Zenit have 3 wins from their last 5, while CSKA Moscow have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Zenit won 1, CSKA Moscow won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.40
77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 0.86 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.5% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 13.7% 11.8% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3%
2 10.9% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2%
3 5.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Zenit winDrawCSKA Moscow win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Zenit win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

Zenit 53%Draw 28%CSKA Moscow 19%
53%28%19%
53%
Zenit Win
55%
Under 2.5 goals

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Zenit and CSKA Moscow. Wins shown from Zenit’s perspective: Zenit 1 · CSKA Moscow 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-05 Zenit 1 – 2 CSKA Moscow L
2026-05-02 CSKA Moscow 1 – 3 Zenit W

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

Zenit

Zenit come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to CSKA Moscow.

  • WBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
  • WZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
  • LZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • WZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
  • WFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Rostov.

  • WDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • WZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
  • DAkron 2-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League

πŸ₯ Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Zenit
  • I. DiveevSuspended (red card)
  • WendelNot in squad
CSKA Moscow
  • D. BarinovNot in squad
  • M. GajicKnee Injury
  • MoisesNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Zenit at 53% to win and CSKA Moscow at 19%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Zenit Win 53% 60% @ 1.61
Draw 28% 24% @ 4.08
CSKA Moscow Win 19% 17% @ 5.72

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 77% 68% @ 1.40
Over 1.5 70% 76% @ 1.26
Under 2.5 55% 47% @ 2.05
Over 2.5 45% 53% @ 1.80
Under 1.5 30% 24% @ 3.97
Over 3.5 23% 32% @ 3.00

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

13%38%64%08/3109/0109/0209/0309/0409/05

Zenit 60%Draw 24%CSKA Moscow 17%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?

Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow.

What is the predicted score for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Zenit and 0.86 for CSKA Moscow. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Zenit and CSKA Moscow play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.