Zenit

Sat 12 Sep2-1Finished

Lokomotiv

⚽ Premier League

Zenit vs Lokomotiv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Zenit vs Lokomotiv in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Zenit 2-1 Lokomotiv

Zenit vs Lokomotiv finished 2-1. Zenit won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.50, landed.

Zenit face Lokomotiv in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:15 UTC. Recent form: Zenit have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lokomotiv have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Zenit won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.9-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Zenit vs Lokomotiv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.49

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.88 – 0.61 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
1	15.6%	9.5%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.7%	8.9%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	9.2%	5.6%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.3%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Zenit winDrawLokomotiv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Zenit vs Lokomotiv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Zenit win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Zenit 66%Draw 24%Lokomotiv 10%

66%24%10%

66%

Zenit Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Zenit and Lokomotiv. Wins shown from Zenit’s perspective: Zenit 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Zenit	2 – 1	Lokomotiv	W
2026-04-22	Lokomotiv	0 – 0	Zenit	D

📈 Recent form

Zenit

Zenit come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to CSKA Moscow.

WBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
WZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
LZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
WZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
WFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Baltika. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Zenit.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
LZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
WBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DAkron 0-0 LokomotivCup
LLokomotiv 0-1 DynamoPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Zenit

Gustavo MantuanNot in squad
WendelNot in squad

Lokomotiv

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Zenit at 66% to win and Lokomotiv at 10%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Zenit Win	66%	69%	@ 1.39
Draw	24%	19%	@ 5.07
Lokomotiv Win	10%	12%	@ 7.71

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	64%	@ 1.49
Over 1.5	71%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	55%	42%	@ 2.28
Over 2.5	45%	58%	@ 1.66
Under 1.5	29%	21%	@ 4.63
Over 3.5	24%	36%	@ 2.65

📈 How the market moved

Zenit 69%Draw 19%Lokomotiv 12%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.6 scoreline for Zenit vs Lokomotiv.

What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Zenit and 0.61 for Lokomotiv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Zenit and Lokomotiv play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.