Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
Tue 11 Aug2-2Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Union St. Gilloise

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bodo/Glimt face Union St. Gilloise in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 2.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Union St. Gilloise +2 @ 1.25
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.84 – 1.18 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.1% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 7.2% 8.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
3 6.9% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
4 4.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Projected score: 2-1
Bodo/Glimt winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Bodo/Glimt 63%Draw 23%Union St. Gilloise 14%
63%23%14%
63%
Bodo/Glimt Win
76%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise. Wins shown from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective: 3 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-11 Bodo/Glimt 2 – 2 Union St. Gilloise D
2026-08-04 Union St. Gilloise 3 – 3 Bodo/Glimt D
2024-10-03 Union St. Gilloise 0 – 0 Bodo/Glimt D

📈 Recent form

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Brann.

  • LBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • LBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • WFredrikstad 1-2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • WBodo/Glimt 4-2 RosenborgEliteserien
  • WBodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Lommel United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
  • WUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
  • WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bodo/Glimt at 63% to win and Union St. Gilloise at 14%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bodo/Glimt Win 63% 59% @ 1.58
Draw 23% 21% @ 4.35
Union St. Gilloise Win 14% 20% @ 4.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.17 (74% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bodo/Glimt or Draw 74% 80% @ 1.17
Union St. Gilloise or Draw 49% 41% @ 2.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 91% 84% @ 1.11
Over 2.5 76% 66% @ 1.42
Over 3.5 57% 44% @ 2.10
Under 3.5 43% 56% @ 1.67
Under 2.5 24% 34% @ 2.70
Under 1.5 9% 16% @ 5.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% 62% @ 1.48
BTTS No 35% 38% @ 2.43

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bodo/Glimt or Union St. Gilloise is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Union St. Gilloise +2 80% 75% @ 1.25
Bodo/Glimt +0.75 78% 83% 1.14
Union St. Gilloise +1.75 76% 69% @ 1.38
Bodo/Glimt +0.5 74% 78% 1.21
Union St. Gilloise +1.5 72% 62% @ 1.49
Bodo/Glimt +0.25 68% 75% 1.25
Union St. Gilloise +1.25 66% 59% @ 1.60
Bodo/Glimt 0 62% 72% 1.31
Union St. Gilloise +1 61% 53% @ 1.78
Bodo/Glimt -0.25 56% 64% 1.47
Union St. Gilloise +0.75 55% 47% @ 2.03
Bodo/Glimt -0.5 51% 58% 1.62
Union St. Gilloise +0.5 49% 42% @ 2.22
Bodo/Glimt -0.75 45% 53% 1.79
Union St. Gilloise +0.25 44% 36% @ 2.65
Bodo/Glimt -1 39% 47% 2.01
Union St. Gilloise 0 38% 28% @ 3.38
Bodo/Glimt -1.25 34% 41% 2.31
Union St. Gilloise -0.25 32% 25% @ 3.79
Bodo/Glimt -1.5 28% 38% 2.48
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 26% 22% @ 4.25
Bodo/Glimt -1.75 24% 31% 3.01
Union St. Gilloise -0.75 22% 17% @ 5.75
Bodo/Glimt -2 20% 25% 3.79

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model's main pick is Union St. Gilloise with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise.

What is the predicted score for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.84 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.18 for Union St. Gilloise. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.