Kauno Žalgiris

Tue 11 Aug1-2Finished

Dinamo Zagreb

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb

Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb finished 1-2. Dinamo Zagreb won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kauno Žalgiris face Dinamo Zagreb in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Dinamo Zagreb won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 2.0-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kauno Žalgiris +2 @ 1.40

91%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.99 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.4%	4.2%	3.6%	2.1%	0.9%
1	4.7%	8.3%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
2	4.7%	8.2%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
3	3.1%	5.5%	4.8%	2.8%	1.2%
4	1.6%	2.7%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%

Projected score: 1-1

Kauno Žalgiris winDrawDinamo Zagreb win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +2 start at odds 1.40, with a 91% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (71%).

📊 Key numbers

Kauno Žalgiris 30%Draw 30%Dinamo Zagreb 40%

30%30%40%

40%

Dinamo Zagreb Win

72%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb. Wins shown from Kauno Žalgiris’s perspective: Dinamo Zagreb 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	Kauno Žalgiris	1 – 2	Dinamo Zagreb	L
2026-08-04	Dinamo Zagreb	5 – 0	Kauno Žalgiris	L

📈 Recent form

Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Džiugas Telšiai. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

WŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
LFK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
WPanevėžys 0-1 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
WKauno Žalgiris 5-1 Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
WKauno Žalgiris 5-0 Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Bedem Ivankovo. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at NK Osijek.

DHapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
LNK Osijek 4-2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
WBedem Ivankovo 0-4 Dinamo ZagrebCup
WDinamo Zagreb 1-0 HNK GoricaHNL
DIstra 1961 2-2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kauno Žalgiris at 30% to win and Dinamo Zagreb at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dinamo Zagreb Win	40%	69%	@ 1.36
Kauno Žalgiris Win	30%	12%	@ 8.00
Draw	30%	19%	@ 4.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kauno Žalgiris or Draw at 3.00 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kauno Žalgiris or Draw	70%	31%	@ 3.00
Dinamo Zagreb or Draw	54%	88%	@ 1.07

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	81%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	72%	61%	@ 1.55
Over 3.5	51%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 3.5	49%	60%	@ 1.58
Under 2.5	28%	39%	@ 2.43
Under 1.5	11%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	71%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	29%	47%	@ 1.94

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kauno Žalgiris or Dinamo Zagreb is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kauno Žalgiris +2	91%	68%	@ 1.40
Kauno Žalgiris +1.75	89%	60%	@ 1.57
Kauno Žalgiris +1.5	87%	53%	@ 1.76
Kauno Žalgiris +1.25	82%	48%	@ 1.99
Kauno Žalgiris +1	78%	41%	@ 2.32
Kauno Žalgiris +0.75	74%	36%	@ 2.65
Kauno Žalgiris +0.5	70%	31%	@ 3.02
Kauno Žalgiris +0.25	64%	25%	@ 3.78
Kauno Žalgiris 0	58%	17%	@ 5.75
Dinamo Zagreb +0.5	54%	86%	1.11
Kauno Žalgiris -0.25	52%	16%	@ 6.00
Dinamo Zagreb +0.25	48%	84%	1.12
Kauno Žalgiris -0.5	46%	14%	@ 6.60
Dinamo Zagreb 0	42%	83%	1.14
Dinamo Zagreb -0.25	36%	75%	1.26
Dinamo Zagreb -0.5	30%	69%	1.38
Dinamo Zagreb -0.75	26%	64%	1.48
Dinamo Zagreb -1	22%	59%	1.59
Dinamo Zagreb -1.25	18%	52%	1.83
Dinamo Zagreb -1.5	13%	47%	2.00
Dinamo Zagreb -1.75	11%	40%	2.38
Dinamo Zagreb -2	9%	32%	2.92

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model's main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +2 start at odds 1.40, with a 91% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model makes a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.8 scoreline for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb.

What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.75 for Dinamo Zagreb. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.