FK Crvena Zvezda

Tue 11 Aug0-2Finished

Hapoel Beer Sheva

⚽ UEFA Champions League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva finished 0-2. Hapoel Beer Sheva won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FK Crvena Zvezda face Hapoel Beer Sheva in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 2.3-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Hapoel Beer Sheva +2 @ 1.67

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.29 – 1.72 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	3.1%	2.7%	1.5%	0.7%
1	4.2%	7.1%	6.1%	3.5%	1.5%
2	4.8%	8.2%	7.0%	4.0%	1.7%
3	3.6%	6.2%	5.4%	3.1%	1.3%
4	2.1%	3.6%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%

Projected score: 2-1

FK Crvena Zvezda winDrawHapoel Beer Sheva win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Hapoel Beer Sheva with a +2 start at odds 1.67, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (74%).

📊 Key numbers

FK Crvena Zvezda 38%Draw 26%Hapoel Beer Sheva 36%

38%26%36%

38%

FK Crvena Zvezda Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

74%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva. Wins shown from FK Crvena Zvezda’s perspective: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	FK Crvena Zvezda	0 – 2	Hapoel Beer Sheva	L
2026-08-04	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1 – 0	FK Crvena Zvezda	L

📈 Recent form

FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Cukaricki. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Plzen.

DRadnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
LPlzen 4-1 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa League
WFK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 CukarickiSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Beer Sheva come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Maccabi Tel Aviv.

WHapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
DHapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
LHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
DHapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
WHapoel Ramat Gan 1-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FK Crvena Zvezda at 38% to win and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 36%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda Win	38%	73%	@ 1.28
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win	36%	10%	@ 9.50
Draw	26%	17%	@ 5.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw at 1.05 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw	71%	90%	@ 1.05
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw	52%	27%	@ 3.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	91%	81%	@ 1.13
Over 2.5	76%	63%	@ 1.46
Over 3.5	57%	42%	@ 2.17
Under 3.5	43%	58%	@ 1.58
Under 2.5	24%	37%	@ 2.45
Under 1.5	9%	19%	@ 4.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	74%	50%	@ 1.85
BTTS No	26%	50%	@ 1.82

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Crvena Zvezda or Hapoel Beer Sheva is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hapoel Beer Sheva +2	82%	57%	@ 1.67
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.75	78%	50%	@ 1.92
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5	74%	45%	@ 2.07
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25	69%	38%	@ 2.48
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25	65%	86%	1.10
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1	63%	30%	@ 3.16
FK Crvena Zvezda 0	59%	85%	1.12
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.75	58%	27%	@ 3.54
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25	53%	–	1.21
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5	52%	25%	@ 3.74
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.5	48%	75%	1.26
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.75	42%	73%	1.28
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0	41%	15%	@ 6.40
FK Crvena Zvezda -1	37%	70%	1.34
Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.25	35%	14%	@ 7.00
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.25	31%	62%	1.51
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.5	26%	55%	1.71
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.75	22%	50%	1.90
FK Crvena Zvezda -2	18%	43%	2.18

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our model's main pick is Hapoel Beer Sheva with a +2 start at odds 1.67, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 57%.

Who is the favourite for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our model makes a FK Crvena Zvezda win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.7 scoreline for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.29 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.72 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.