Mon 17 Aug3-3Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Göztepe Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Samsunspor vs Göztepe in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Monday 17 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Samsunspor 3-3 Göztepe

Samsunspor vs Göztepe finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

Samsunspor face Göztepe in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Monday 17 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Samsunspor won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Samsunspor win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 2.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Samsunspor vs Göztepe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.30 – 1.44 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.4%	3.4%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%
1	5.5%	7.9%	5.7%	2.7%	1.0%
2	6.3%	9.0%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.8%	6.9%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
4	2.8%	4.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

Samsunspor winDrawGöztepe win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Göztepe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Samsunspor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Samsunspor 57%Draw 20%Göztepe 23%

57%20%23%

57%

Samsunspor Win

72%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Samsunspor and Göztepe. Wins shown from Samsunspor’s perspective: Samsunspor 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-17	Samsunspor	3 – 3	Göztepe	D
2026-05-16	Samsunspor	3 – 0	Göztepe	W

📈 Recent form

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

Göztepe

Göztepe come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Gaziantep FK.

DGöztepe 2-2 RizesporSüper Lig
DAlanyaspor 2-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
LGöztepe 2-4 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
LGalatasaray 3-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
LGöztepe 0-1 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
Y. E. CiftNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
I. DrapinskiNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad
E. WattSuspended

Göztepe

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Samsunspor at 57% to win and Göztepe at 23%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Samsunspor win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Samsunspor Win	57%	42%	@ 2.20
Göztepe Win	23%	29%	@ 3.25
Draw	20%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Samsunspor or Draw at 1.29 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Samsunspor or Draw	79%	71%	@ 1.29
Göztepe or Draw	45%	58%	@ 1.58

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	71%	@ 1.30
Over 2.5	72%	47%	@ 1.96
Over 3.5	51%	27%	@ 3.35
Under 3.5	49%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 2.5	28%	53%	@ 1.72
Under 1.5	11%	29%	@ 3.15

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	53%	@ 1.74
BTTS No	34%	47%	@ 1.94

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Samsunspor or Göztepe is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Samsunspor +1.5	93%	85%	@ 1.08
Samsunspor +1.25	89%	86%	1.11
Samsunspor +1	86%	85%	1.12
Samsunspor +0.75	82%	77%	@ 1.23
Samsunspor +0.5	79%	71%	@ 1.33
Göztepe +1.75	74%	83%	1.14
Samsunspor +0.25	73%	67%	@ 1.43
Göztepe +1.5	69%	77%	1.21
Samsunspor 0	67%	59%	@ 1.59
Göztepe +1.25	63%	75%	1.26
Samsunspor -0.25	61%	51%	@ 1.89
Göztepe +1	57%	73%	1.31
Samsunspor -0.5	55%	44%	@ 2.15
Göztepe +0.75	51%	63%	1.51
Samsunspor -0.75	49%	37%	@ 2.56
Göztepe +0.5	45%	56%	1.67
Samsunspor -1	43%	27%	@ 3.46
Göztepe +0.25	39%	49%	1.95
Samsunspor -1.25	37%	25%	@ 3.82
Göztepe 0	33%	41%	2.34
Samsunspor -1.5	31%	23%	@ 4.08
Göztepe -0.25	27%	33%	2.83
Samsunspor -1.75	26%	17%	@ 5.75
Göztepe -0.5	21%	29%	3.22
Göztepe -0.75	18%	23%	4.22
Göztepe -1	14%	15%	6.25
Göztepe -1.25	11%	14%	6.60
Göztepe -1.5	7%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Samsunspor 43%Draw 28%Göztepe 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

Our model makes a Samsunspor win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline for Samsunspor vs Göztepe.

What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.30 for Samsunspor and 1.44 for Göztepe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Samsunspor and Göztepe play?

Kick-off is Monday 17 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.