Hapoel Beer Sheva
Sabah FA⚽ UEFA Champions League
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Sabah FA
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA finished 2-1. Hapoel Beer Sheva won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Hapoel Beer Sheva face Sabah FA in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 1, Sabah FA won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.3-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Sabah FA. Wins shown from Hapoel Beer Sheva’s perspective: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 · Sabah FA 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Sabah FA | 3 – 2 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | L |
| 2026-08-19 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 – 1 | Sabah FA | W |
📈 Recent form
Hapoel Beer Sheva come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Maccabi Tel Aviv.
- WHapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
- DHapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
- LHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- DHapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
- WHapoel Ramat Gan 1-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
Sabah FA come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Zira. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Manchester United.
- WSabah FA 3-1 Imisli FKPremyer Liqa
- WSafa Baku 0-3 Sabah FAPremyer Liqa
- LManchester United 4-0 Sabah FAUEFA Champions League
- WSabah FA 5-0 ZiraPremyer Liqa
- WSabah FA 3-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. BitonHeart Problems
- Joao VictorMuscle Injury
- K. AliyevHamstring Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hapoel Beer Sheva at 37% to win and Sabah FA at 36%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva Win | 37% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Sabah FA Win | 36% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw at 1.30 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw | 64% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Sabah FA or Draw | 62% | 59% | @ 1.56 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 73% | @ 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% | @ 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 54% | @ 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 53% | @ 1.74 |
| BTTS No | 43% | 47% | @ 1.94 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hapoel Beer Sheva or Sabah FA is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA +1.75 | 86% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5 | 84% | – | 1.11 |
| Sabah FA +1.5 | 83% | 79% | 1.18 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25 | 79% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Sabah FA +1.25 | 78% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva +1 | 74% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Sabah FA +1 | 73% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.75 | 69% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Sabah FA +0.75 | 68% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 | 64% | 69% | 1.36 |
| Sabah FA +0.5 | 62% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.25 | 58% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Sabah FA +0.25 | 56% | 52% | @ 1.85 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 | 51% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Sabah FA 0 | 49% | 42% | @ 2.24 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.25 | 44% | 48% | 1.98 |
| Sabah FA -0.25 | 42% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.5 | 38% | 42% | 2.23 |
| Sabah FA -0.5 | 36% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.75 | 32% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Sabah FA -0.75 | 31% | 24% | @ 3.88 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -1 | 27% | 27% | 3.47 |
| Sabah FA -1 | 26% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -1.25 | 22% | 24% | 3.92 |
| Sabah FA -1.25 | 21% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -1.5 | 17% | 21% | 4.38 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva -1.75 | 14% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?
Our model makes a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.60 for Sabah FA. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hapoel Beer Sheva and Sabah FA play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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