vs
⚽ Ligue 2
Nancy vs Montpellier Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nancy vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Nancy 0-1 Montpellier
Nancy vs Montpellier finished 0-1. Montpellier won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Montpellier Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.33, landed.
Nancy face Montpellier in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 0.7-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nancy vs Montpellier with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nancy vs Montpellier is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Montpellier Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 89%. On the match result, the model rates a Montpellier win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Montpellier win at odds 2.53 (+67.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nancy at 13% to win and Montpellier at 66%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Win | 66% | @ 2.53 | +67.0% |
| Draw | 21% | @ 3.36 | -30.3% |
| Nancy Win | 13% | @ 2.66 | -64.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.43 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier or Draw | 86% | @ 1.43 | +22.9% |
| Nancy or Draw | 34% | @ 1.48 | -50.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | @ 1.94 | -2.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | @ 1.29 | -3.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | @ 3.35 | -5.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | @ 1.30 | -6.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | @ 1.84 | -8.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | @ 3.42 | -14.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 55% | @ 2.04 | +13.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 45% | @ 1.68 | -25.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nancy or Montpellier is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier -1.75 | 37% | @ 6.80 | +150.2% |
| Montpellier -1 | 54% | @ 4.19 | +126.7% |
| Montpellier -0.75 | 60% | @ 3.06 | +84.0% |
| Montpellier -0.5 | 66% | @ 2.47 | +63.9% |
| Montpellier -0.25 | 71% | @ 2.19 | +56.2% |
| Montpellier 0 | 76% | @ 1.85 | +41.4% |
| Montpellier +0.25 | 81% | @ 1.62 | +31.7% |
| Montpellier +0.5 | 86% | @ 1.47 | +26.5% |
| Montpellier +0.75 | 89% | @ 1.33 | +17.9% |
| Montpellier +1.5 | 96% | @ 1.14 | +8.9% |
| Montpellier +1 | 91% | @ 1.20 | +8.8% |
| Montpellier +1.25 | 94% | @ 1.16 | +8.5% |
| Nancy +1.75 | 63% | 1.10 | -30.5% |
| Nancy +1.5 | 58% | 1.15 | -33.1% |
| Nancy +1.25 | 52% | 1.22 | -36.5% |
| Nancy +1 | 46% | 1.23 | -43.6% |
| Nancy +0.75 | 40% | 1.38 | -45.1% |
| Nancy +0.5 | 34% | 1.51 | -49.2% |
| Nancy +0.25 | 29% | 1.69 | -51.7% |
| Nancy 0 | 24% | 1.95 | -53.7% |
| Nancy -0.25 | 19% | 2.31 | -56.7% |
| Nancy -1 | 9% | 4.62 | -58.8% |
| Nancy -0.75 | 11% | 3.31 | -62.5% |
| Nancy -0.5 | 14% | 2.62 | -63.9% |
| Nancy -1.25 | 6% | 5.25 | -65.9% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nancy vs Montpellier?
Our main pick is Montpellier Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with 89% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Montpellier win at 2.53 (+67.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Nancy vs Montpellier?
Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline for Nancy vs Montpellier.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Montpellier?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.74 for Nancy and 1.95 for Montpellier. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nancy and Montpellier play?
Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.