Nancy

Fri 14 Aug0-1Finished

Montpellier

⚽ Ligue 2

Nancy vs Montpellier Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nancy vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nancy 0-1 Montpellier

Nancy vs Montpellier finished 0-1. Montpellier won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Montpellier Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.33, landed.

Nancy face Montpellier in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nancy vs Montpellier with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Montpellier Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 1.33

89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.74 – 1.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	13.2%	12.9%	8.4%	4.1%
1	5.0%	9.8%	9.6%	6.2%	3.0%
2	1.9%	3.6%	3.5%	2.3%	1.1%
3	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Nancy winDrawMontpellier win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nancy vs Montpellier comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Montpellier Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 89% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (55%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

50%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Nancy

Nancy come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Reims.

WRodez 3-4 NancyLigue 2
LNancy 1-2 ReimsLigue 2
LNantes 1-0 NancyLigue 2
WNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
WPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2

Montpellier

Montpellier come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to PAU. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Saint Etienne.

DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
WMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
LSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
WDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.41 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Montpellier or Draw	86%	65%	@ 1.41
Nancy or Draw	34%	64%	@ 1.43

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 3.5	72%	70%	@ 1.30
Over 2.5	50%	50%	@ 1.84
Under 2.5	50%	50%	@ 1.83
Over 3.5	28%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	25%	27%	@ 3.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	55%	45%	@ 2.02
BTTS Yes	45%	55%	@ 1.65

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nancy or Montpellier is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Montpellier +1.5	96%	–	1.14
Montpellier +1.25	94%	82%	1.16
Montpellier +1	91%	79%	1.20
Montpellier +0.75	89%	71%	1.33
Montpellier +0.5	86%	64%	1.47
Montpellier +0.25	81%	59%	1.62
Montpellier 0	76%	51%	1.85
Montpellier -0.25	71%	43%	2.19
Montpellier -0.5	66%	38%	2.47
Nancy +1.75	63%	86%	1.10
Montpellier -0.75	60%	31%	3.06
Nancy +1.5	58%	–	1.15
Montpellier -1	54%	23%	4.19
Nancy +1.25	52%	–	1.22
Nancy +1	46%	77%	1.23
Nancy +0.75	40%	69%	1.38
Montpellier -1.75	37%	14%	6.80
Nancy +0.5	34%	62%	1.51
Nancy +0.25	29%	57%	1.69
Nancy 0	24%	49%	1.95
Nancy -0.25	19%	41%	2.31
Nancy -0.5	14%	36%	2.62
Nancy -0.75	11%	29%	3.31
Nancy -1	9%	21%	4.62
Nancy -1.25	6%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Nancy 35%Draw 28%Montpellier 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nancy vs Montpellier?

Our model's main pick is Montpellier Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Montpellier?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.74 for Nancy and 1.95 for Montpellier. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nancy and Montpellier play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.