⚽ Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Boulogne Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Guingamp vs Boulogne in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Guingamp face Boulogne in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Guingamp win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.2-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Guingamp vs Boulogne with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

89%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.17 – 0.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.2%	10.5%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
1	19.0%	12.3%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%
2	11.1%	7.2%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
3	4.3%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Guingamp winDrawBoulogne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Boulogne is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 89%. On the match result, the model rates a Guingamp win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points no (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.85 (+34.2% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.85, 72% model probability, +34.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Guingamp 48%Draw 31%Boulogne 20%

48%31%20%

48%

Guingamp Win

72%

Under 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS no

+34.2%

Best value: Under 2.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Guingamp at 48% to win and Boulogne at 20%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Guingamp win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	31%	3.70	+15.3%
Boulogne Win	20%	4.75	-2.8%
Guingamp Win	48%	1.70	-17.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Boulogne or Draw at 2.10 (48% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Boulogne or Draw	48%	2.10	+1.6%
Guingamp or Draw	76%	1.18	-10.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	46%	3.50	+59.9%
Under 2.5	72%	1.85	+34.2%
Under 3.5	89%	1.33	+18.1%
Over 1.5	54%	1.28	-30.5%
Over 2.5	28%	1.90	-47.8%
Over 3.5	11%	3.25	-63.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	67%	1.85	+24.4%
BTTS Yes	33%	1.80	-41.1%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Guingamp or Boulogne is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Boulogne 0	36%	3.49	+25.9%
Boulogne -0.25	30%	4.06	+21.5%
Boulogne -0.75	20%	6.00	+20.0%
Boulogne +0.25	42%	2.52	+6.4%
Guingamp -2	20%	5.25	+2.9%
Boulogne +0.5	48%	2.06	-0.2%
Boulogne +0.75	54%	1.83	-0.4%
Boulogne +1.5	72%	1.36	-1.4%
Boulogne +1.25	66%	1.46	-3.0%
Boulogne +1	60%	1.58	-4.2%
Boulogne +1.75	76%	1.25	-4.4%
Guingamp -1	40%	2.39	-5.5%
Boulogne +2	80%	1.16	-6.7%
Guingamp -1.25	34%	2.74	-8.1%
Guingamp -0.75	46%	2.01	-8.4%
Guingamp +0.5	76%	1.19	-9.3%
Guingamp +0.75	80%	1.12	-10.4%
Guingamp -0.5	52%	1.73	-10.8%
Guingamp -0.25	58%	1.52	-12.2%
Guingamp +0.25	70%	1.24	-13.1%
Guingamp 0	64%	1.30	-16.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.64 for the home side, 1.03 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (19%), 0-0 (16%), 1-1 (12%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guingamp vs Boulogne?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 89% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.85 (+34.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Guingamp vs Boulogne?

Our model makes a Guingamp win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.2-0.7 scoreline for Guingamp vs Boulogne.

What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Boulogne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.17 for Guingamp and 0.65 for Boulogne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Guingamp and Boulogne play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.