Guingamp

Fri 14 Aug1-0Finished

Boulogne

⚽ Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Boulogne Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Guingamp vs Boulogne in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Guingamp 1-0 Boulogne

Guingamp vs Boulogne finished 1-0. Guingamp won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Guingamp face Boulogne in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Guingamp vs Boulogne with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.17 – 0.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.2%	10.5%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
1	19.0%	12.3%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%
2	11.1%	7.2%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
3	4.3%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Guingamp winDrawBoulogne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Boulogne comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 89% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points no (67%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

72%

Under 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Guingamp

Guingamp come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Annecy. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to RED Star FC 93.

LGuingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
WGuingamp 2-1 AnnecyLigue 2
DReims 2-2 GuingampLigue 2
DGuingamp 3-3 NantesLigue 2
LSochaux 1-0 GuingampLigue 2

Boulogne

Boulogne come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Nantes.

LBoulogne 1-2 NantesLigue 2
DClermont Foot 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
DBoulogne 1-1 DijonLigue 2
DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
DBoulogne 1-1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Guingamp or Draw at 1.16 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Guingamp or Draw	76%	79%	@ 1.16
Boulogne or Draw	48%	47%	@ 1.96

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	89%	70%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	72%	50%	@ 1.84
Over 1.5	54%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 1.5	46%	27%	@ 3.40
Over 2.5	28%	50%	@ 1.83
Over 3.5	11%	30%	@ 3.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	67%	48%	@ 1.88
BTTS Yes	33%	52%	@ 1.76

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Guingamp or Boulogne is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Boulogne +2	80%	82%	1.16
Guingamp +0.75	80%	84%	1.12
Boulogne +1.75	76%	–	1.25
Guingamp +0.5	76%	–	1.19
Boulogne +1.5	72%	–	1.36
Guingamp +0.25	70%	77%	1.24
Boulogne +1.25	66%	65%	1.46
Guingamp 0	64%	73%	1.30
Boulogne +1	60%	60%	1.58
Guingamp -0.25	58%	62%	1.52
Boulogne +0.75	54%	52%	1.83
Guingamp -0.5	52%	54%	1.73
Boulogne +0.5	48%	46%	2.06
Guingamp -0.75	46%	48%	2.01
Boulogne +0.25	42%	38%	2.52
Guingamp -1	40%	40%	2.39
Boulogne 0	36%	27%	3.49
Guingamp -1.25	34%	35%	2.74
Boulogne -0.25	30%	23%	4.06
Boulogne -0.75	20%	16%	6.00
Guingamp -2	20%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Guingamp 54%Draw 26%Boulogne 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guingamp vs Boulogne?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Boulogne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.17 for Guingamp and 0.65 for Boulogne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Guingamp and Boulogne play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.