⚽ Ligue 2

Dijon vs PAU Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dijon vs PAU in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Dijon face PAU in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dijon win the most likely result at 71%, projecting a 2.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dijon vs PAU with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

92%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.91 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%
1	4.5%	5.7%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
2	6.5%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%
3	6.3%	8.0%	5.1%	2.1%	0.7%
4	4.6%	5.8%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

Dijon winDrawPAU win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dijon vs PAU is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 92%. On the match result, the model rates a Dijon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Dijon to win by 1+ goals at odds 2.69 (+70.1% model value).

Best value

Dijon -0.75 at odds 2.69, 63% model probability, +70.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Dijon 71%Draw 15%PAU 14%

71%15%14%

71%

Dijon Win

79%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+70.1%

Best value: Dijon -0.75

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dijon at 71% to win and PAU at 14%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Dijon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dijon Win	71%	2.25	+60.0%
Draw	15%	3.30	-50.2%
PAU Win	14%	3.10	-57.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dijon or Draw at 1.35 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dijon or Draw	88%	1.35	+18.5%
PAU or Draw	31%	1.62	-50.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	60%	3.85	+131.0%
Over 2.5	79%	2.10	+65.1%
Over 1.5	92%	1.36	+25.1%
Under 3.5	40%	1.25	-50.0%
Under 2.5	21%	1.70	-63.7%
Under 1.5	8%	3.10	-75.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	1.83	+24.3%
BTTS No	32%	1.85	-40.7%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Dijon or PAU is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dijon -1.75	40%	6.00	+138.7%
Dijon -1.25	51%	4.03	+105.8%
Dijon -1	57%	3.57	+103.8%
Dijon -1.5	45%	4.50	+102.6%
Dijon -0.75	63%	2.69	+70.1%
Dijon -0.5	69%	2.19	+51.5%
Dijon -0.25	74%	1.94	+43.2%
Dijon 0	78%	1.61	+26.6%
Dijon +0.25	83%	1.46	+21.4%
Dijon +0.5	88%	1.36	+19.4%
Dijon +0.75	90%	1.24	+11.5%
Dijon +1.25	94%	1.11	+4.6%
Dijon +1.5	96%	1.08	+4.1%
Dijon +1	92%	1.12	+3.1%
PAU +1.75	60%	1.12	-32.6%
PAU +1.5	55%	1.17	-35.7%
PAU +1.25	49%	1.24	-39.3%
PAU +1	43%	1.28	-44.9%
PAU +0.75	37%	1.47	-45.8%
PAU +0.5	31%	1.66	-49.0%
PAU +0.25	26%	1.90	-50.4%
PAU 0	22%	2.30	-50.5%
PAU -1	8%	6.00	-52.5%
PAU -0.25	17%	2.73	-54.0%
PAU -0.75	10%	4.04	-59.3%
PAU -1.25	6%	6.60	-62.1%
PAU -0.5	12%	3.05	-62.8%
PAU -1.5	4%	6.00	-78.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	71%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 2.17 for the home side, 0.78 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (6%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dijon vs PAU?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with 92% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Dijon to win by 1+ goals at 2.69 (+70.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Dijon vs PAU?

Our model makes a Dijon win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline for Dijon vs PAU.

What is the predicted score for Dijon vs PAU?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.91 for Dijon and 1.27 for PAU. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dijon and PAU play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.