Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
Sun 16 Aug3-0Finished
Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus finished 3-0. Arminia Bielefeld won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Arminia Bielefeld face Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.56
65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.29 – 1.04 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
2 9.4% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
3 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
4 4.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Projected score: 2-1
Arminia Bielefeld winDrawEnergie Cottbus win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 65% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

65%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at SV Darmstadt 98.

  • DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • LSV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
  • L1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal
Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Karlsruher SC. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

  • DEnergie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
  • WKarlsruher SC 0-3 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
  • DVfL Wolfsburg 4-4 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
  • LEnergie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • LEnergie Cottbus 0-2 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arminia Bielefeld or Draw at 1.19 (85% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw 85% 77% @ 1.19
Energie Cottbus or Draw 36% 47% @ 1.96

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% 79% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 65% 59% @ 1.56
Under 3.5 57% 61% @ 1.49
Over 3.5 43% 39% @ 2.38
Under 2.5 35% 41% @ 2.23
Under 1.5 16% 21% @ 4.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 58% 60% @ 1.53
BTTS No 42% 40% @ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

18%38%59%08/1108/1208/1308/1408/1508/16

Arminia Bielefeld 55%Draw 23%Energie Cottbus 22%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.29 for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.04 for Energie Cottbus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Arminia Bielefeld and Energie Cottbus play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.