Girona

Sun 16 Aug1-1Finished

Leganes

⚽ Segunda División

Girona vs Leganes Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Girona vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Girona 1-1 Leganes

Girona vs Leganes finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Girona face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Girona won 1, 2 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Girona vs Leganes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.27

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 0.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.0%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	16.2%	10.4%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.1%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.5%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Girona winDrawLeganes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Girona vs Leganes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 78% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

58%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Girona and Leganes. Wins shown from Girona’s perspective: Girona 1 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-16	Girona	1 – 1	Leganes	D
2025-04-24	Leganes	1 – 1	Girona	D
2024-11-02	Girona	4 – 3	Leganes	W

📈 Recent form

Girona

Girona come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Las Palmas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Castellón.

WCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
WGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Tenerife.

WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
WLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
WOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Girona or Draw at 1.12 (85% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Girona or Draw	85%	83%	@ 1.12
Leganes or Draw	35%	43%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	73%	@ 1.27
Over 1.5	68%	71%	@ 1.29
Under 2.5	58%	53%	@ 1.74
Over 2.5	42%	47%	@ 1.93
Under 1.5	32%	29%	@ 3.15
Over 3.5	22%	27%	@ 3.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	61%	52%	@ 1.74
BTTS Yes	39%	48%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Girona 57%Draw 26%Leganes 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Girona vs Leganes?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Leganes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Girona and 0.64 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Girona and Leganes play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.