Las Palmas

Sun 16 Aug2-1Finished

Albacete

⚽ Segunda División

Las Palmas vs Albacete Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Las Palmas vs Albacete in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Las Palmas 2-1 Albacete

Las Palmas vs Albacete finished 2-1. Las Palmas won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Las Palmas face Albacete in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Las Palmas vs Albacete with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
1	10.2%	12.5%	7.7%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.0%	8.6%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.2%	3.9%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Las Palmas winDrawAlbacete win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Albacete comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Las Palmas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Las Palmas 40%Draw 28%Albacete 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Las Palmas Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Burgos.

LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División

Albacete

Albacete come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Cordoba.

LAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
LCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
LAlbacete 0-1 OviedoSegunda División
LLas Palmas 2-1 AlbaceteSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Las Palmas at 40% to win and Albacete at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Las Palmas Win	40%	56%	@ 1.67
Albacete Win	32%	19%	@ 4.90
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.14 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Las Palmas or Draw	67%	81%	@ 1.14
Albacete or Draw	59%	44%	@ 2.06

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	70%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	73%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 2.5	52%	50%	@ 1.85
Over 2.5	48%	50%	@ 1.82
Under 1.5	27%	27%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	26%	30%	@ 3.05

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	51%	@ 1.79
BTTS No	49%	49%	@ 1.85

📈 How the market moved

Las Palmas 56%Draw 25%Albacete 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Albacete?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Albacete?

Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Las Palmas vs Albacete.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Albacete?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Las Palmas and 1.23 for Albacete. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Las Palmas and Albacete play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.