⚽ Premier League

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 17 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Polessya 1-2 Zorya Luhansk

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk finished 1-2. Zorya Luhansk won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.39, landed.

Polessya face Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League, kicking off Monday 17 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Polessya win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.39

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.89 – 1.28 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.4%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%
1	7.9%	10.2%	6.5%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
3	4.7%	6.0%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.2%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Polessya winDrawZorya Luhansk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.39, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Polessya win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Zorya Luhansk to win or draw at odds 2.58 (+30.2% model value).

Best value

Zorya Luhansk +0.5 at odds 2.58, 50% model probability, +30.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Polessya 51%Draw 23%Zorya Luhansk 26%

51%23%26%

51%

Polessya Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

+30.2%

Best value: Zorya Luhansk +0.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Polessya and Zorya Luhansk. Wins shown from Polessya’s perspective: 1 drawn · Zorya Luhansk 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-17	Polessya	1 – 2	Zorya Luhansk	L
2026-05-18	Zorya Luhansk	0 – 0	Polessya	D

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Polessya at 51% to win and Zorya Luhansk at 26%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Polessya win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Zorya Luhansk Win	26%	@ 5.80	+52.9%
Draw	23%	@ 3.65	-15.9%
Polessya Win	51%	@ 1.53	-22.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Zorya Luhansk or Draw at 2.38 (50% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Zorya Luhansk or Draw	50%	@ 2.38	+20.1%
Polessya or Draw	75%	@ 1.08	-19.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	39%	@ 3.40	+32.9%
Over 2.5	61%	@ 1.95	+19.7%
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.30	+7.2%
Under 3.5	61%	@ 1.28	-22.0%
Under 2.5	39%	@ 1.80	-30.5%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 3.25	-43.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 1.95	+17.1%
BTTS No	40%	@ 1.70	-32.1%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Polessya or Zorya Luhansk is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Zorya Luhansk 0	38%	@ 4.65	+76.3%
Zorya Luhansk -0.25	32%	@ 5.50	+74.1%
Zorya Luhansk -0.5	25%	@ 5.90	+49.7%
Zorya Luhansk +0.25	44%	@ 3.25	+43.4%
Zorya Luhansk +0.5	50%	@ 2.58	+30.2%
Zorya Luhansk +0.75	56%	@ 2.29	+29.4%
Zorya Luhansk +1	62%	@ 1.94	+20.9%
Zorya Luhansk +1.25	68%	@ 1.70	+16.1%
Zorya Luhansk +1.5	74%	@ 1.54	+14.3%
Zorya Luhansk +1.75	78%	@ 1.39	+8.4%
Zorya Luhansk +2	82%	@ 1.26	+3.0%
Polessya +0.5	75%	1.13	-15.7%
Polessya +0.25	68%	1.15	-21.4%
Polessya -0.25	56%	1.32	-26.0%
Polessya 0	62%	1.18	-26.7%
Polessya -0.5	50%	1.48	-26.9%
Polessya -0.75	44%	1.60	-30.0%
Polessya -1	38%	1.82	-31.3%
Polessya -2	18%	3.70	-32.5%
Polessya -1.25	32%	2.12	-32.9%
Polessya -1.75	22%	2.88	-36.6%
Polessya -1.5	26%	2.40	-38.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Our main pick is Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.39, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Zorya Luhansk to win or draw at 2.58 (+30.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Our model makes a Polessya win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk.

What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Polessya and 1.28 for Zorya Luhansk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Polessya and Zorya Luhansk play?

Kick-off is Monday 17 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.