Dunkerque

Fri 21 Aug0-1Finished

Montpellier

⚽ Ligue 2

Dunkerque vs Montpellier Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dunkerque vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Dunkerque 0-1 Montpellier

Dunkerque vs Montpellier finished 0-1. Montpellier won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dunkerque face Montpellier in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dunkerque vs Montpellier with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Montpellier +1 @ 1.25

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.98 – 1.63 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	12.0%	9.8%	5.3%	2.2%
1	7.2%	11.7%	9.6%	5.2%	2.1%
2	3.5%	5.8%	4.7%	2.5%	1.0%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Dunkerque winDrawMontpellier win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Montpellier comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Montpellier with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Montpellier win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Dunkerque 21%Draw 28%Montpellier 51%

21%28%51%

51%

Montpellier Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Dunkerque

Dunkerque come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Saint Etienne. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PAU.

LPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
WDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
DDunkerque 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
LNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2

Montpellier

Montpellier come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to PAU. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Saint Etienne.

DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
WMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
LSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
WDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dunkerque at 21% to win and Montpellier at 51%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Montpellier Win	51%	33%	@ 2.75
Draw	28%	29%	@ 3.20
Dunkerque Win	21%	38%	@ 2.38

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.49 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Montpellier or Draw	77%	62%	@ 1.49
Dunkerque or Draw	47%	67%	@ 1.37

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	71%	@ 1.29
Under 3.5	73%	72%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	52%	52%	@ 1.76
Over 2.5	48%	48%	@ 1.92
Over 3.5	27%	28%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	26%	29%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	46%	@ 1.96
BTTS Yes	49%	54%	@ 1.70

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Dunkerque or Montpellier is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Montpellier +1.75	93%	85%	@ 1.12
Montpellier +1.5	92%	80%	@ 1.18
Montpellier +1.25	88%	78%	@ 1.22
Montpellier +1	85%	76%	@ 1.25
Montpellier +0.75	81%	67%	@ 1.42
Montpellier +0.5	77%	60%	@ 1.56
Dunkerque +1.75	75%	86%	1.10
Montpellier +0.25	71%	54%	@ 1.75
Dunkerque +1.5	71%	84%	1.13
Montpellier 0	65%	47%	@ 2.03
Dunkerque +1.25	65%	83%	1.15
Montpellier -0.25	59%	39%	@ 2.45
Dunkerque +1	59%	81%	1.18
Montpellier -0.5	53%	34%	@ 2.77
Dunkerque +0.75	53%	73%	1.30
Montpellier -0.75	47%	27%	@ 3.54
Dunkerque +0.5	47%	66%	1.42
Dunkerque +0.25	41%	61%	1.55
Montpellier -1	41%	19%	@ 4.91
Dunkerque 0	35%	53%	1.77
Montpellier -1.25	35%	17%	@ 5.50
Montpellier -1.5	29%	16%	@ 5.90
Dunkerque -0.25	29%	46%	2.10
Montpellier -1.75	25%	14%	@ 6.80
Dunkerque -0.5	23%	40%	2.37
Dunkerque -0.75	19%	33%	2.90
Dunkerque -1	15%	24%	3.88
Dunkerque -1.25	12%	22%	4.34
Dunkerque -1.5	8%	20%	4.65
Dunkerque -1.75	7%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Dunkerque 38%Draw 28%Montpellier 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dunkerque vs Montpellier?

Our model's main pick is Montpellier with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Dunkerque vs Montpellier?

Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline for Dunkerque vs Montpellier.

What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Montpellier?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.98 for Dunkerque and 1.63 for Montpellier. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dunkerque and Montpellier play?

Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.