Vicenza Virtus

Fri 21 Aug3-2Finished

Catanzaro

⚽ Serie B

Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro in the Serie B. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Vicenza Virtus 3-2 Catanzaro

Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro finished 3-2. Vicenza Virtus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Vicenza Virtus face Catanzaro in the Serie B, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Vicenza Virtus +0.75 @ 1.31

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	8.6%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
1	11.0%	12.5%	7.0%	2.7%	0.7%
2	7.9%	9.0%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.8%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Vicenza Virtus winDrawCatanzaro win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Vicenza Virtus with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 75% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Vicenza Virtus

Vicenza Virtus come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Catanzaro. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Hellas Verona.

LHellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
DVicenza Virtus 1-1 Juve StabiaSerie B
DVirtus Entella 2-2 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LAvellino 3-0 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
WVicenza Virtus 3-2 CatanzaroSerie B

Catanzaro

Catanzaro come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Sampdoria.

LSampdoria 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
WCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LSudtirol 2-0 CatanzaroSerie B
LPisa 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
LVicenza Virtus 3-2 CatanzaroSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Vicenza Virtus or Draw at 1.38 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vicenza Virtus or Draw	70%	66%	@ 1.38
Catanzaro or Draw	56%	63%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	75%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	73%	68%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	53%	56%	@ 1.63
Over 2.5	47%	44%	@ 2.08
Under 1.5	27%	32%	@ 2.85
Over 3.5	26%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	50%	@ 1.81
BTTS No	48%	50%	@ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Vicenza Virtus or Catanzaro is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vicenza Virtus +1.5	88%	84%	1.13
Vicenza Virtus +1.25	84%	83%	1.15
Vicenza Virtus +1	79%	–	1.18
Catanzaro +1.5	78%	83%	1.15
Vicenza Virtus +0.75	75%	72%	1.31
Catanzaro +1.25	73%	81%	1.17
Vicenza Virtus +0.5	70%	65%	1.43
Catanzaro +1	67%	79%	1.21
Vicenza Virtus +0.25	64%	60%	1.59
Catanzaro +0.75	61%	70%	1.35
Vicenza Virtus 0	57%	52%	1.83
Catanzaro +0.5	56%	63%	1.50
Vicenza Virtus -0.25	51%	43%	2.22
Catanzaro +0.25	49%	57%	1.67
Vicenza Virtus -0.5	44%	37%	2.51
Catanzaro 0	43%	48%	1.97
Vicenza Virtus -0.75	39%	30%	3.17
Catanzaro -0.25	36%	40%	2.38
Vicenza Virtus -1	33%	21%	4.48
Catanzaro -0.5	30%	35%	2.72
Vicenza Virtus -1.25	27%	19%	5.00
Catanzaro -0.75	25%	28%	3.44
Vicenza Virtus -1.5	22%	17%	5.50
Catanzaro -1.25	16%	17%	5.50
Catanzaro -1.5	12%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Vicenza Virtus 36%Draw 30%Catanzaro 34%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

Our model's main pick is Vicenza Virtus with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

What is the predicted score for Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Vicenza Virtus and 1.13 for Catanzaro. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Vicenza Virtus and Catanzaro play?

Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.