⚽ Premier League
Hull City vs Manchester United Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hull City vs Manchester United in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Result: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United
Hull City vs Manchester United finished 2-0. Hull City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Hull City face Manchester United in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Manchester United win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hull City vs Manchester United with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hull City vs Manchester United comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Manchester United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Hull City come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Newcastle.
- LNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
- DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
- LSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
- DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
- WCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League
Manchester United come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sabah FA. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Brighton.
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- LManchester United 2-3 BrightonLeague Cup
- LManchester United 0-1 Manchester CityPremier League
- WManchester United 4-0 Sabah FAUEFA Champions League
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. ButlandArm Injury
- J. GelhardtAnkle Injury
- D. GyabiGroin Injury
- C. HughesGroin Injury
- M. JacobHip Injury
- E. MatazoKnee Injury
- H. MoritaCalf Injury
- O. ZambranoHamstring Injury
- T. HeatonInjury
- M. MountFoot Injury
- M. UgarteKnee Injury
- M. de LigtBack Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hull City at 18% to win and Manchester United at 48%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Manchester United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United Win | 48% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Draw | 34% | 18% | @ 5.20 |
| Hull City Win | 18% | 10% | @ 9.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Manchester United or Draw at 1.06 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United or Draw | 77% | 90% | @ 1.06 |
| Hull City or Draw | 47% | 28% | @ 3.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 64% | @ 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 21% | @ 4.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hull City or Manchester United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City +2 | 80% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Manchester United +0.5 | 77% | – | 1.07 |
| Hull City +1.75 | 76% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Hull City +1.5 | 72% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| Manchester United +0.25 | 71% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Hull City +1.25 | 66% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Manchester United 0 | 65% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Hull City +1 | 59% | 38% | @ 2.47 |
| Manchester United -0.25 | 59% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Hull City +0.75 | 53% | 33% | @ 2.92 |
| Manchester United -0.5 | 53% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Hull City +0.5 | 47% | 29% | @ 3.26 |
| Manchester United -0.75 | 47% | 67% | 1.41 |
| Hull City +0.25 | 41% | 23% | @ 4.16 |
| Manchester United -1 | 41% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Hull City 0 | 35% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Manchester United -1.25 | 34% | 55% | 1.75 |
| Hull City -0.25 | 29% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Manchester United -1.5 | 28% | 48% | 1.97 |
| Manchester United -1.75 | 24% | 43% | 2.25 |
| Manchester United -2 | 20% | 35% | 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hull City vs Manchester United?
Our model's main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Manchester United?
Our model makes a Manchester United win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Hull City vs Manchester United.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Manchester United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Hull City and 1.36 for Manchester United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hull City and Manchester United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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