Sat 22 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Premier League

Ipswich vs Sunderland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ipswich vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland

Ipswich vs Sunderland finished 2-1. Ipswich won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Sunderland Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.33, was a half-loss.

Ipswich face Sunderland in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Ipswich won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.1-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ipswich vs Sunderland with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Sunderland Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 1.33

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.08 – 1.83 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	10.0%	9.1%	5.6%	2.5%
1	5.9%	10.8%	9.9%	6.0%	2.7%
2	3.2%	5.8%	5.3%	3.2%	1.5%
3	1.1%	2.1%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Ipswich winDrawSunderland win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ipswich vs Sunderland comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sunderland Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sunderland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Ipswich 19%Draw 28%Sunderland 53%

19%28%53%

53%

Sunderland Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Ipswich and Sunderland. Wins shown from Ipswich’s perspective: Ipswich 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Ipswich	2 – 1	Sunderland	W
2024-01-13	Ipswich	2 – 1	Sunderland	W
2023-08-06	Sunderland	1 – 2	Ipswich	W

📈 Recent form

Ipswich

Ipswich come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.

LEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
LIpswich 2-4 ArsenalLeague Cup
WCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
LIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
LManchester United 5-2 IpswichPremier League

Sunderland

Sunderland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to AZ Alkmaar. Their most recent defeat was 3-5 at Manchester City.

LManchester City 5-3 SunderlandPremier League
WSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
LSunderland 0-2 ArsenalPremier League
WSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Ipswich

A. MatusiwaInjury
J. TaylorKnee Injury

Sunderland

S. AdingraFoot Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ipswich at 19% to win and Sunderland at 53%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sunderland Win	53%	35%	@ 2.70
Draw	28%	30%	@ 3.20
Ipswich Win	19%	35%	@ 2.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sunderland or Draw at 1.45 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sunderland or Draw	79%	65%	@ 1.45
Ipswich or Draw	45%	65%	@ 1.46

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	72%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	67%	73%	@ 1.29
Over 2.5	56%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	44%	53%	@ 1.79
Over 3.5	33%	27%	@ 3.55
Under 1.5	21%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	54%	@ 1.72
BTTS No	44%	46%	@ 2.02

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ipswich or Sunderland is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sunderland +1.5	93%	–	@ 1.12
Sunderland +1.25	89%	82%	@ 1.16
Sunderland +1	86%	80%	@ 1.20
Sunderland +0.75	82%	72%	@ 1.33
Sunderland +0.5	79%	64%	@ 1.48
Ipswich +1.75	73%	86%	1.10
Sunderland +0.25	73%	59%	@ 1.62
Ipswich +1.5	69%	83%	1.13
Sunderland 0	67%	50%	@ 1.91
Ipswich +1.25	63%	81%	1.17
Sunderland -0.25	61%	42%	@ 2.30
Ipswich +1	57%	–	1.21
Sunderland -0.5	55%	36%	@ 2.63
Ipswich +0.75	51%	71%	1.35
Sunderland -0.75	49%	29%	@ 3.25
Ipswich +0.5	45%	64%	1.48
Ipswich +0.25	39%	58%	1.64
Sunderland -1.25	37%	19%	@ 5.00
Ipswich 0	33%	50%	1.91
Sunderland -1.5	31%	17%	@ 5.35
Ipswich -0.25	27%	41%	2.33
Sunderland -1.75	27%	14%	@ 7.00
Ipswich -0.5	21%	36%	2.61
Ipswich -0.75	18%	28%	3.35
Ipswich -1	14%	20%	4.66
Ipswich -1.25	11%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Ipswich 35%Draw 29%Sunderland 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Sunderland?

Our model's main pick is Sunderland Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Sunderland?

Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline for Ipswich vs Sunderland.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Sunderland?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.08 for Ipswich and 1.83 for Sunderland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ipswich and Sunderland play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.