vs
⚽ Premier League
Ipswich vs Sunderland Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ipswich vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland
Ipswich vs Sunderland finished 2-1. Ipswich won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Sunderland Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.33, was a half-loss.
Ipswich face Sunderland in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Ipswich won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.1-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ipswich vs Sunderland with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Ipswich vs Sunderland is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Sunderland Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Sunderland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Sunderland to win at odds 2.63 (+45.8% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Ipswich and Sunderland. Wins shown from Ipswich’s perspective: Ipswich 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ipswich | 2 – 1 | Sunderland | W |
| 2024-01-13 | Ipswich | 2 – 1 | Sunderland | W |
| 2023-08-06 | Sunderland | 1 – 2 | Ipswich | W |
📈 Recent form
Ipswich come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Capalaba. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Broadbeach United.
- WIpswich 2-1 SunderlandPremier League
- WUnion Berlin 2-4 IpswichFriendlies Clubs
- LBroadbeach United 1-0 IpswichQueensland Premier Lea
- WIpswich 3-0 CapalabaQueensland Premier Lea
- WIpswich 3-0 Rayo VallecanoFriendlies Clubs
Sunderland come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Lens. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Ipswich.
- LIpswich 2-1 SunderlandPremier League
- WSunderland 2-1 RennesFriendlies Clubs
- WLens 0-2 SunderlandFriendlies Clubs
- WWrexham 0-1 SunderlandPremier League – Summe
- LSunderland 0-1 LeedsPremier League – Summe
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. MatusiwaInjury
- J. TaylorKnee Injury
- S. AdingraFoot Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ipswich at 19% to win and Sunderland at 53%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland Win | 53% | @ 2.66 | +42.0% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.24 | -10.4% |
| Ipswich Win | 19% | @ 2.70 | -49.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sunderland or Draw at 1.45 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland or Draw | 79% | @ 1.45 | +14.8% |
| Ipswich or Draw | 45% | @ 1.46 | -35.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 33% | @ 3.49 | +16.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | @ 2.01 | +11.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | @ 1.32 | +4.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | @ 1.30 | -13.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | @ 1.80 | -19.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | @ 3.39 | -27.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.74 | -3.4% |
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 2.03 | -9.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ipswich or Sunderland is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland -1.75 | 27% | @ 7.00 | +86.5% |
| Sunderland -1.25 | 37% | @ 5.00 | +85.2% |
| Sunderland -1.5 | 31% | @ 5.35 | +65.3% |
| Sunderland -0.75 | 49% | @ 3.25 | +60.0% |
| Sunderland -0.5 | 55% | @ 2.63 | +45.8% |
| Sunderland -0.25 | 61% | @ 2.30 | +41.1% |
| Sunderland 0 | 67% | @ 1.91 | +28.3% |
| Sunderland +0.25 | 73% | @ 1.62 | +18.9% |
| Sunderland +0.5 | 79% | @ 1.48 | +16.6% |
| Sunderland +0.75 | 82% | @ 1.33 | +10.2% |
| Sunderland +1.5 | 93% | @ 1.12 | +4.4% |
| Sunderland +1.25 | 89% | @ 1.16 | +3.6% |
| Sunderland +1 | 86% | @ 1.20 | +3.1% |
| Ipswich +1.75 | 73% | 1.10 | -19.3% |
| Ipswich +1.5 | 69% | 1.13 | -21.9% |
| Ipswich +1.25 | 63% | 1.17 | -26.3% |
| Ipswich +1 | 57% | 1.21 | -31.5% |
| Ipswich +0.75 | 51% | 1.35 | -31.6% |
| Ipswich +0.5 | 45% | 1.48 | -34.2% |
| Ipswich -1 | 14% | 4.66 | -34.4% |
| Ipswich +0.25 | 39% | 1.64 | -36.6% |
| Ipswich -0.25 | 27% | 2.33 | -37.6% |
| Ipswich 0 | 33% | 1.91 | -37.6% |
| Ipswich -0.75 | 18% | 3.35 | -41.4% |
| Ipswich -1.25 | 11% | 5.25 | -44.1% |
| Ipswich -0.5 | 21% | 2.61 | -45.4% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Sunderland?
Our main pick is Sunderland Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Sunderland to win at 2.63 (+45.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Sunderland?
Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline for Ipswich vs Sunderland.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Sunderland?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.08 for Ipswich and 1.83 for Sunderland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ipswich and Sunderland play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.