⚽ Championship
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Swansea 0-0 Sheffield Utd
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Swansea face Sheffield Utd in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Sheffield Utd won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Swansea and Sheffield Utd. Wins shown from Swansea’s perspective: 2 drawn · Sheffield Utd 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Swansea | 0 – 0 | Sheffield Utd | D |
| 2026-04-03 | Sheffield Utd | 3 – 3 | Swansea | D |
| 2025-01-21 | Swansea | 1 – 2 | Sheffield Utd | L |
| 2024-10-02 | Sheffield Utd | 1 – 0 | Swansea | L |
📈 Recent form
Swansea come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Burnley. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Southampton.
- WLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
- WSwansea 3-1 BurnleyChampionship
- LSouthampton 3-1 SwanseaChampionship
- DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
- WSwansea 2-0 WatfordChampionship
Sheffield Utd come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Stoke City.
- LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LFleetwood Town 1-0 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
- LSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
- WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
- G. FrancoAnkle Injury
- T. ChongInjury
- R. OneHamstring Injury
- K. PhillipsMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Swansea at 36% to win and Sheffield Utd at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd Win | 36% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
| Swansea Win | 36% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.54 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd or Draw | 64% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| Swansea or Draw | 63% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 73% | @ 1.27 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 72% | @ 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 45% | @ 2.04 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Swansea or Sheffield Utd is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd +1.75 | 87% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Swansea +1.75 | 86% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Sheffield Utd +1.5 | 84% | 79% | 1.17 |
| Swansea +1.5 | 83% | – | 1.11 |
| Sheffield Utd +1.25 | 79% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Swansea +1.25 | 78% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Sheffield Utd +1 | 74% | – | 1.27 |
| Swansea +1 | 73% | 81% | 1.18 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.75 | 69% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Swansea +0.75 | 68% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.5 | 64% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Swansea +0.5 | 63% | 66% | 1.41 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.25 | 57% | 54% | @ 1.79 |
| Swansea +0.25 | 56% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Sheffield Utd 0 | 50% | 45% | @ 2.13 |
| Swansea 0 | 50% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.25 | 44% | 38% | @ 2.52 |
| Swansea -0.25 | 43% | 46% | 2.08 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.5 | 37% | 34% | @ 2.80 |
| Swansea -0.5 | 36% | 40% | 2.34 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.75 | 32% | 26% | @ 3.59 |
| Swansea -0.75 | 31% | 33% | 2.85 |
| Sheffield Utd -1 | 27% | 19% | @ 5.14 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.25 | 22% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Swansea -1.25 | 21% | 22% | 4.29 |
| Swansea -1.5 | 16% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.75 | 14% | 14% | 6.60 |
| Swansea -1.75 | 13% | 16% | 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.5 scoreline for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Sheffield Utd?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Swansea and 1.47 for Sheffield Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Swansea and Sheffield Utd play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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