vs
⚽ Championship
West Ham vs Charlton Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Ham vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
West Ham face Charlton in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Ham vs Charlton with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for West Ham vs Charlton is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Charlton with a +1.5 start at odds 1.76, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a West Ham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Charlton with a +0.75 start at odds 2.73 (+47.3% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
West Ham come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Stevenage.
- DBurnley 2-2 West HamChampionship
- WWest Ham 3-1 PortsmouthLeague Cup
- D1. FC Magdeburg 1-1 West HamFriendlies Clubs
- DRangers 0-0 West HamFriendlies Clubs
- WStevenage 0-5 West HamFriendlies Clubs
Charlton come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cheltenham. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Reading.
- WCharlton 2-1 DerbyChampionship
- WCheltenham 1-3 CharltonLeague Cup
- LReading 3-0 CharltonFriendlies Clubs
- WColchester 0-2 CharltonFriendlies Clubs
- LAFC Wimbledon 2-0 CharltonFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. LamadridKnee Injury
- T. SoucekAnkle Injury
- C. KelmanInjury
- T. OumaLacking Match Fitness
- K. RamsayInjury
- J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
- M. MbickKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices West Ham at 44% to win and Charlton at 15%, with the draw at 42%. Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42% | @ 4.75 | +97.2% |
| Charlton Win | 15% | @ 9.20 | +35.9% |
| West Ham Win | 44% | @ 1.33 | -41.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlton or Draw at 3.10 (48% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton or Draw | 48% | @ 3.10 | +48.2% |
| West Ham or Draw | 77% | @ 1.05 | -19.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 26% | @ 4.33 | +13.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | @ 2.20 | +12.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.50 | +9.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | @ 1.20 | -11.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | @ 1.65 | -19.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 2.55 | -31.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | @ 1.91 | -1.7% |
| BTTS No | 48% | @ 1.83 | -11.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Ham or Charlton is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton 0 | 36% | @ 6.40 | +127.6% |
| Charlton -0.25 | 29% | @ 7.00 | +106.1% |
| Charlton +0.25 | 42% | @ 3.97 | +65.5% |
| Charlton +0.75 | 54% | @ 2.73 | +47.3% |
| Charlton +1 | 60% | @ 2.42 | +45.0% |
| Charlton +0.5 | 48% | @ 3.01 | +44.1% |
| Charlton -0.5 | 23% | @ 6.00 | +40.0% |
| Charlton +1.25 | 66% | @ 2.00 | +32.2% |
| Charlton +1.5 | 72% | @ 1.76 | +26.7% |
| Charlton +1.75 | 76% | @ 1.58 | +20.4% |
| Charlton +2 | 80% | @ 1.46 | +16.5% |
| West Ham +0.5 | 77% | 1.08 | -17.2% |
| West Ham +0.25 | 70% | 1.10 | -22.4% |
| West Ham -0.25 | 58% | 1.25 | -27.1% |
| West Ham 0 | 64% | 1.12 | -27.8% |
| West Ham -0.5 | 52% | 1.37 | -28.7% |
| West Ham -0.75 | 46% | 1.47 | -32.4% |
| West Ham -1.25 | 34% | 1.86 | -36.5% |
| West Ham -1 | 40% | 1.56 | -37.3% |
| West Ham -1.75 | 24% | 2.40 | -42.3% |
| West Ham -1.5 | 28% | 2.03 | -43.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 51% |
| GradientBoosting | Draw | 47% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.65 for the home side, 1.02 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for West Ham vs Charlton?
Our main pick is Charlton with a +1.5 start at odds 1.76, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Charlton with a +0.75 start at 2.73 (+47.3% value).
Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Charlton?
Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline for West Ham vs Charlton.
What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Charlton?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for West Ham and 1.03 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do West Ham and Charlton play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Bologna
Lazio
Baltika
Rubin
Osasuna
Levante
Kocaelispor
Amed
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Reims
AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.