⚽ Super League

FC Luzern vs Lausanne Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Luzern vs Lausanne in the Super League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Luzern face Lausanne in the Super League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Luzern have 0 wins from their last 3, while Lausanne have 1 win from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Luzern win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Luzern vs Lausanne with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

69%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.2%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.0%	11.6%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.4%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Luzern winDrawLausanne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Luzern vs Lausanne is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 69%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Luzern win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.62, 69% model probability, +12.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Luzern 49%Draw 23%Lausanne 28%

49%23%28%

49%

FC Luzern Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

+12.5%

Best value: Under 3.5

📈 Recent form

FC Luzern

FC Luzern come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Buochs. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at FC Sion.

WBuochs 0-3 FC LuzernSchweizer Cup
DFC ST. Gallen 2-2 FC LuzernSuper League
LFC Sion 3-0 FC LuzernSuper League
LFC Luzern 1-3 FC ThunSuper League
LFC Luzern 1-2 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs

Lausanne

Lausanne come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Kosova Neuchatel. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Saint Etienne.

WKosova Neuchatel 0-6 LausanneSchweizer Cup
DLausanne 2-2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 0-1 LausanneSuper League
LSaint Etienne 4-0 LausanneFriendlies Clubs
DLausanne 1-1 GrasshoppersSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Luzern at 49% to win and Lausanne at 28%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a FC Luzern win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lausanne Win	28%	@ 3.35	-4.7%
FC Luzern Win	49%	@ 1.95	-5.3%
Draw	23%	@ 3.85	-11.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lausanne or Draw at 1.80 (53% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lausanne or Draw	53%	@ 1.80	-5.1%
FC Luzern or Draw	73%	@ 1.30	-5.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	23%	@ 5.25	+22.2%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.55	+20.3%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.62	+12.5%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.15	-11.8%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.50	-20.8%
Over 3.5	31%	@ 2.25	-31.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.55	+17.7%
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.44	-22.5%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	56%
Dixon-Coles	Home	41%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.53 for the home side, 1.10 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 69% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

Our model makes a FC Luzern win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for FC Luzern vs Lausanne.

What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for FC Luzern and 1.17 for Lausanne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Luzern and Lausanne play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.