FC Luzern

Sat 22 Aug1-0Finished

Lausanne

⚽ Super League

FC Luzern vs Lausanne Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Luzern vs Lausanne in the Super League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Luzern 1-0 Lausanne

FC Luzern vs Lausanne finished 1-0. FC Luzern won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Luzern face Lausanne in the Super League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Luzern have no wins from their last 3, while Lausanne have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 2 meetings, FC Luzern won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Luzern win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Luzern vs Lausanne with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Luzern or Draw @ 1.29

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.2%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.0%	11.6%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.4%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Luzern winDrawLausanne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Luzern vs Lausanne comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Luzern or Draw at odds 1.29, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Luzern win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Luzern 49%Draw 23%Lausanne 28%

49%23%28%

49%

FC Luzern Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Luzern and Lausanne. Wins shown from FC Luzern’s perspective: FC Luzern 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	FC Luzern	1 – 0	Lausanne	W
2026-05-02	Lausanne	1 – 3	FC Luzern	W

📈 Recent form

FC Luzern

FC Luzern come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Grasshoppers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at home to FC Basel 1893.

WFC Luzern 5-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
LFC Luzern 2-4 FC Basel 1893Super League
DBSC Young Boys 3-3 FC LuzernSuper League
WFC Luzern 2-1 FC VaduzSuper League
DServette FC 1-1 FC LuzernSuper League

Lausanne

Lausanne come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to FC Lugano.

LLausanne 0-4 FC LuganoSuper League
LLausanne 0-1 Servette FCSuper League
LFC Vaduz 3-1 LausanneSuper League
DFC Thun 0-0 LausanneSuper League
LLausanne 2-3 FC ZurichSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Luzern at 49% to win and Lausanne at 28%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a FC Luzern win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Luzern Win	49%	47%	@ 1.95
Lausanne Win	28%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	23%	24%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Luzern or Draw at 1.29 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Luzern or Draw	73%	71%	@ 1.29
Lausanne or Draw	53%	53%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	81%	@ 1.13
Under 3.5	69%	57%	@ 1.60
Over 2.5	53%	63%	@ 1.45
Under 2.5	47%	37%	@ 2.48
Over 3.5	31%	43%	@ 2.14
Under 1.5	23%	19%	@ 4.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	65%	@ 1.42
BTTS No	46%	35%	@ 2.60

📈 How the market moved

FC Luzern 47%Draw 25%Lausanne 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

Our model's main pick is FC Luzern or Draw at odds 1.29, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

Our model makes a FC Luzern win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for FC Luzern vs Lausanne.

What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for FC Luzern and 1.17 for Lausanne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Luzern and Lausanne play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.