vs
⚽ Premier League
Brentford vs Tottenham Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brentford vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Brentford face Tottenham in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Tottenham won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brentford win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brentford vs Tottenham with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Brentford vs Tottenham is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Brentford with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Brentford win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Brentford to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.05 (+9.9% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Brentford and Tottenham. Wins shown from Brentford’s perspective: 1 drawn · Tottenham 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Brentford | 0 – 0 | Tottenham | D |
| 2025-12-06 | Tottenham | 2 – 0 | Brentford | L |
| 2025-02-02 | Brentford | 0 – 2 | Tottenham | L |
| 2024-09-21 | Tottenham | 3 – 1 | Brentford | L |
| 2024-01-31 | Tottenham | 3 – 2 | Brentford | L |
📈 Recent form
Brentford come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Manchester City.
- WBrentford 7-0 Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs
- WRennes 2-4 BrentfordFriendlies Clubs
- DLiverpool 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
- DBrentford 2-2 Crystal PalacePremier League
- LManchester City 3-0 BrentfordPremier League
Tottenham come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Chelsea. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DTottenham 1-1 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
- WChelsea 1-2 TottenhamFriendlies Clubs
- DTottenham 1-1 SydneyFriendlies Clubs
- WTottenham 1-0 Milton Keynes DonsFriendlies Clubs
- WTottenham 1-0 EvertonPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- B. FredrickKnee Injury
- S. van den BergInjury
- W. OdobertKnee Injury
- X. SimonsKnee Injury
- M. KudusMuscle Injury
- D. KulusevskiKnee Injury
- D. SolankeAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brentford at 46% to win and Tottenham at 26%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Brentford win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford Win | 46% | @ 2.35 | +8.5% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.63 | +1.1% |
| Tottenham Win | 26% | @ 2.80 | -27.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brentford or Draw at 1.43 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford or Draw | 73% | @ 1.43 | +3.6% |
| Tottenham or Draw | 53% | @ 1.56 | -17.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 42% | @ 2.66 | +12.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | @ 1.66 | +7.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | @ 1.21 | +2.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | @ 1.48 | -14.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | @ 2.23 | -20.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | @ 4.38 | -31.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | @ 1.54 | +0.4% |
| BTTS No | 35% | @ 2.38 | -17.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Brentford or Tottenham is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford -1 | 36% | @ 3.55 | +26.2% |
| Brentford -1.25 | 30% | @ 3.94 | +17.3% |
| Brentford -1.75 | 20% | @ 5.75 | +16.8% |
| Brentford -0.75 | 41% | @ 2.75 | +13.6% |
| Brentford -0.25 | 54% | @ 2.05 | +9.9% |
| Brentford -0.5 | 47% | @ 2.31 | +8.8% |
| Brentford 0 | 60% | @ 1.75 | +5.0% |
| Brentford +0.5 | 73% | @ 1.43 | +4.0% |
| Brentford +0.25 | 66% | @ 1.55 | +2.8% |
| Brentford -1.5 | 24% | @ 4.28 | +2.1% |
| Brentford +0.75 | 77% | @ 1.32 | +1.5% |
| Brentford +1.5 | 90% | @ 1.12 | +0.7% |
| Brentford +1.75 | 91% | @ 1.10 | +0.4% |
| Brentford +1.25 | 85% | 1.16 | -1.1% |
| Brentford +1 | 81% | 1.21 | -2.3% |
| Tottenham +1.75 | 80% | 1.14 | -9.2% |
| Tottenham +1.5 | 76% | 1.19 | -9.4% |
| Tottenham +1.25 | 70% | 1.25 | -11.8% |
| Tottenham -1 | 19% | 4.61 | -13.0% |
| Tottenham +0.75 | 59% | 1.47 | -14.1% |
| Tottenham +0.25 | 46% | 1.82 | -15.3% |
| Tottenham +0.5 | 53% | 1.60 | -15.7% |
| Tottenham +1 | 64% | 1.30 | -15.9% |
| Tottenham 0 | 40% | 2.08 | -16.8% |
| Tottenham -0.25 | 34% | 2.46 | -17.2% |
| Tottenham -0.75 | 23% | 3.46 | -20.1% |
| Tottenham -1.25 | 15% | 5.25 | -22.8% |
| Tottenham -0.5 | 27% | 2.76 | -24.7% |
| Tottenham -1.75 | 9% | 7.00 | -39.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 40% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 49% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 47% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.53 for the home side, 1.10 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brentford vs Tottenham?
Our main pick is Brentford with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Brentford to win by 0+ goals at 2.05 (+9.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Tottenham?
Our model makes a Brentford win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for Brentford vs Tottenham.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Tottenham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Brentford and 1.52 for Tottenham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brentford and Tottenham play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.