AEK Athens FC

Sat 22 Aug4-0Finished

Iraklis 1908

⚽ Super League 1

AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Iraklis 1908

AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 finished 4-0. AEK Athens FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

AEK Athens FC face Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.84 – 0.83 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	5.7%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
1	12.7%	10.6%	4.4%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.7%	9.7%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.2%	6.0%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

AEK Athens FC winDrawIraklis 1908 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 72% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (53%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVolos NFC 1-2 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
WAEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League
WAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
WNestos Chrisoupolis 0-2 AEK Athens FCCup

Iraklis 1908

Iraklis 1908 come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Asteras Tripolis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at AEK Athens FC.

DAris Thessalonikis 0-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
DIraklis 1908 1-1 AtromitosSuper League 1
WAsteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
DVolos NFC 1-1 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AEK Athens FC or Draw at 1.01 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AEK Athens FC or Draw	83%	92%	@ 1.01
Iraklis 1908 or Draw	39%	22%	@ 4.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	81%	@ 1.13
Under 3.5	72%	58%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	50%	38%	@ 2.43
Over 2.5	50%	62%	@ 1.48
Over 3.5	28%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	25%	19%	@ 4.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	56%	@ 1.62
BTTS Yes	47%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

AEK Athens FC 78%Draw 15%Iraklis 1908 7%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.84 for AEK Athens FC and 0.83 for Iraklis 1908. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AEK Athens FC and Iraklis 1908 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.