Kalamata

Sat 22 Aug2-3Finished

Aris Thessalonikis

⚽ Super League 1

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kalamata 2-3 Aris Thessalonikis

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis finished 2-3. Aris Thessalonikis won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kalamata face Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Aris Thessalonikis or Draw @ 1.25

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.90 – 1.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	13.5%	10.3%	5.3%	2.0%
1	7.9%	12.1%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.6%	5.5%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.1%	1.6%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Kalamata winDrawAris Thessalonikis win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Aris Thessalonikis or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Kalamata

Kalamata come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Volos NFC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Panathinaikos.

LKalamata 0-1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
WKalamata 3-1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
DAtromitos 1-1 KalamataSuper League 1
LPanetolikos 2-0 KalamataSuper League 1
LKalamata 2-3 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1

Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Marko. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PAOK.

DAris Thessalonikis 0-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
WAris Thessalonikis 1-0 MarkoCup
LPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris ThessalonikisCup
LAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aris Thessalonikis or Draw at 1.25 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Aris Thessalonikis or Draw	77%	73%	@ 1.25
Kalamata or Draw	47%	57%	@ 1.61

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	79%	@ 1.17
Over 1.5	70%	64%	@ 1.43
Under 2.5	56%	61%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	44%	39%	@ 2.33
Under 1.5	30%	36%	@ 2.55
Over 3.5	23%	21%	@ 4.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	54%	@ 1.68
BTTS Yes	46%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Kalamata 26%Draw 31%Aris Thessalonikis 43%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our model's main pick is Aris Thessalonikis or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for Kalamata and 1.53 for Aris Thessalonikis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.