vs
⚽ Primeira Liga
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.
Maritimo face Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Academico Viseu with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Academico Viseu 0 at odds 2.70 (+36.4% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Maritimo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Camacha. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WFamalicao 1-2 MaritimoPrimeira Liga
- WMaritimo 1-0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- DMaritimo 1-1 EstrelaFriendlies Clubs
- WMaritimo 2-0 CamachaFriendlies Clubs
- WMaritimo 2-0 AVSFriendlies Clubs
Academico Viseu come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Santa Clara.
- LAcademico Viseu 0-1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
- DBenfica 2-2 Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga
- DCelta Vigo 2-2 Academico ViseuFriendlies Clubs
- LLusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Academico ViseuFriendlies Clubs
- DAcademico Viseu 0-0 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Maritimo at 17% to win and Academico Viseu at 18%, with the draw at 66%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 66% | @ 3.30 | +117.4% |
| Academico Viseu Win | 18% | @ 3.81 | -32.8% |
| Maritimo Win | 17% | @ 2.01 | -66.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Academico Viseu or Draw at 1.77 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu or Draw | 64% | @ 1.77 | +12.8% |
| Maritimo or Draw | 63% | @ 1.25 | -21.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 31% | @ 3.85 | +19.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | @ 2.15 | +14.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | @ 1.37 | +5.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | @ 1.24 | -14.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | @ 1.67 | -22.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | @ 2.98 | -31.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.89 | +6.5% |
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 1.81 | -20.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Maritimo or Academico Viseu is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu -0.75 | 32% | @ 5.00 | +60.7% |
| Academico Viseu -0.25 | 44% | @ 3.27 | +43.6% |
| Academico Viseu -0.5 | 37% | @ 3.71 | +38.6% |
| Academico Viseu 0 | 50% | @ 2.70 | +36.4% |
| Academico Viseu +0.25 | 57% | @ 2.09 | +19.4% |
| Academico Viseu +0.5 | 64% | @ 1.80 | +14.6% |
| Academico Viseu +0.75 | 69% | @ 1.58 | +8.7% |
| Academico Viseu +1.5 | 84% | @ 1.25 | +5.5% |
| Academico Viseu +1.25 | 79% | @ 1.30 | +2.7% |
| Academico Viseu +1 | 74% | @ 1.38 | +1.6% |
| Academico Viseu +1.75 | 87% | @ 1.16 | +0.5% |
| Maritimo -1 | 26% | 3.11 | -18.8% |
| Maritimo +0.75 | 68% | 1.18 | -19.9% |
| Maritimo +0.5 | 63% | 1.27 | -20.1% |
| Maritimo -0.25 | 43% | 1.76 | -24.3% |
| Maritimo +0.25 | 56% | 1.34 | -24.6% |
| Maritimo -1.25 | 21% | 3.58 | -24.8% |
| Maritimo -0.75 | 31% | 2.41 | -24.9% |
| Maritimo -0.5 | 36% | 1.99 | -27.8% |
| Maritimo 0 | 50% | 1.46 | -27.9% |
| Maritimo -1.75 | 13% | 5.25 | -30.0% |
| Maritimo -1.5 | 16% | 3.93 | -37.3% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 44% |
| GradientBoosting | Draw | 79% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.28 for the home side, 1.31 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?
Our main pick is Academico Viseu with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Academico Viseu 0 at 2.70 (+36.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Maritimo and 1.25 for Academico Viseu. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Maritimo and Academico Viseu play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.