Sat 22 Aug0-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Rizespor vs Samsunspor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rizespor vs Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Rizespor 0-2 Samsunspor

Rizespor vs Samsunspor finished 0-2. Samsunspor won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Rizespor face Samsunspor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Rizespor won 1, Samsunspor won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rizespor win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 2.6-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rizespor vs Samsunspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

96%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.64 – 2.46 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.6%	1.5%	1.8%	1.5%	0.9%
1	1.6%	4.0%	4.9%	4.0%	2.5%
2	2.1%	5.2%	6.4%	5.3%	3.2%
3	1.9%	4.6%	5.7%	4.6%	2.9%
4	1.2%	3.0%	3.7%	3.1%	1.9%

Projected score: 2-2

Rizespor winDrawSamsunspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rizespor vs Samsunspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 96% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rizespor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (88%), both teams to score points yes (82%).

📊 Key numbers

Rizespor 45%Draw 16%Samsunspor 39%

45%16%39%

45%

Rizespor Win

88%

Over 2.5 goals

82%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rizespor and Samsunspor. Wins shown from Rizespor’s perspective: Rizespor 1 · Samsunspor 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Rizespor	0 – 2	Samsunspor	L
2026-04-09	Rizespor	4 – 1	Samsunspor	W

📈 Recent form

Rizespor

Rizespor come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Eyüpspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Alanyaspor.

DGöztepe 2-2 RizesporSüper Lig
WEyüpspor 0-2 RizesporSüper Lig
LRizespor 0-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
WGaziantep FK 1-2 RizesporSüper Lig
LRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Rizespor

K. AlikulovKnee Injury
M. DiakiteNot in squad
V. MihailaNot in squad

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
Y. E. CiftNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
I. DrapinskiNot in squad
A. MakoumbouNot in squad
MariusNot in squad
A. SousaNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rizespor at 45% to win and Samsunspor at 39%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Rizespor win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rizespor Win	45%	42%	@ 2.25
Samsunspor Win	39%	30%	@ 3.15
Draw	16%	28%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rizespor or Draw at 1.30 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rizespor or Draw	66%	70%	@ 1.30
Samsunspor or Draw	60%	58%	@ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 88% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	96%	73%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	88%	50%	@ 1.84
Over 3.5	75%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 3.5	25%	70%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	12%	50%	@ 1.83
Under 1.5	4%	27%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 82%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	82%	55%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	18%	45%	@ 2.04

📈 How the market moved

Rizespor 43%Draw 28%Samsunspor 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 96% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Our model makes a Rizespor win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 2.6-2.5 scoreline for Rizespor vs Samsunspor.

What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.64 for Rizespor and 2.46 for Samsunspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rizespor and Samsunspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.