⚽ Ligue 2

Saint Etienne vs Grenoble Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Saint Etienne face Grenoble in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 2.1-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.62

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.06 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	4.5%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%
1	6.9%	9.2%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.1%	9.5%	6.4%	2.8%	1.0%
3	4.9%	6.5%	4.4%	1.9%	0.7%
4	2.5%	3.4%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Saint Etienne winDrawGrenoble win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Saint Etienne win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.77 (+13.6% model value).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.77, 64% model probability, +13.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Saint Etienne 52%Draw 23%Grenoble 25%

52%23%25%

52%

Saint Etienne Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+13.6%

Best value: BTTS Yes

📈 Recent form

Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lausanne. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Rangers.

WSaint Etienne 3-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
WSochaux 0-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
WSaint Etienne 4-3 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
WSaint Etienne 4-0 LausanneFriendlies Clubs
LRangers 2-1 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs

Grenoble

Grenoble come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Dunkerque.

DGrenoble 0-0 MetzLigue 2
LDunkerque 4-2 GrenobleLigue 2
LAndrézieux 3-2 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
DClermont Foot 1-1 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
LGrenoble 0-3 Estac TroyesFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Saint Etienne at 52% to win and Grenoble at 25%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Grenoble Win	25%	@ 7.50	+85.4%
Draw	23%	@ 4.50	+3.7%
Saint Etienne Win	52%	@ 1.40	-26.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Grenoble or Draw at 2.85 (49% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Grenoble or Draw	49%	@ 2.85	+38.6%
Saint Etienne or Draw	76%	@ 1.08	-17.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.55	+12.6%
Over 2.5	66%	@ 1.62	+7.0%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.20	+2.4%
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.50	-16.2%
Under 2.5	34%	@ 2.25	-23.5%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 4.33	-36.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.77	+13.6%
BTTS No	36%	@ 1.91	-31.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	66%
Dixon-Coles	Home	38%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.63 for the home side, 1.03 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 66% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.77 (+13.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?

Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.3 scoreline for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble.

What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.06 for Saint Etienne and 1.34 for Grenoble. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Saint Etienne and Grenoble play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.