Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
Sat 22 Aug4-0Finished
GrenobleGrenoble

⚽ Ligue 2

Saint Etienne vs Grenoble Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Result: Saint Etienne 4-0 Grenoble

Saint Etienne vs Grenoble finished 4-0. Saint Etienne won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Saint Etienne face Grenoble in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 2.1-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.65
66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.06 – 1.34 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.4% 2.8% 1.0%
3 4.9% 6.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Projected score: 2-1
Saint Etienne winDrawGrenoble win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Saint Etienne win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Saint Etienne 52%Draw 23%Grenoble 25%
52%23%25%
52%
Saint Etienne Win
66%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Grenoble. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dunkerque.

  • DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • LDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • WSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
  • WDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • WSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2
Grenoble

Grenoble come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Laval. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Annecy.

  • DGrenoble 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • WRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
  • LGrenoble 1-2 AnnecyLigue 2
  • WLaval 0-3 GrenobleLigue 2
  • LSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Saint Etienne at 52% to win and Grenoble at 25%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Saint Etienne Win 52% 67% @ 1.37
Grenoble Win 25% 13% @ 7.00
Draw 23% 20% @ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saint Etienne or Draw at 1.07 (76% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Saint Etienne or Draw 76% 87% @ 1.07
Grenoble or Draw 49% 33% @ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% 77% @ 1.20
Over 2.5 66% 56% @ 1.65
Under 3.5 56% 65% @ 1.41
Over 3.5 44% 35% @ 2.63
Under 2.5 34% 44% @ 2.06
Under 1.5 15% 23% @ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 64% 48% @ 1.90
BTTS No 36% 52% @ 1.74

📈 How the market moved

9%40%71%08/1808/1908/2008/2108/22

Saint Etienne 66%Draw 21%Grenoble 13%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?

Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.3 scoreline for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble.

What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.06 for Saint Etienne and 1.34 for Grenoble. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Saint Etienne and Grenoble play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.