⚽ Super League

FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 in the Super League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Zurich face FC Basel 1893 in the Super League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Zurich have 1 win from their last 3, while FC Basel 1893 have 2 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

72%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.24 – 1.42 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	9.9%	7.1%	3.3%	1.2%
1	8.7%	12.3%	8.7%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.4%	7.6%	5.4%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.2%	3.2%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Zurich winDrawFC Basel 1893 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.40 (+32.5% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.40, 55% model probability, +32.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Zurich 38%Draw 21%FC Basel 1893 41%

38%21%41%

41%

FC Basel 1893 Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

+32.5%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

FC Zurich

FC Zurich come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Tuggen. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at FC Lugano.

WTuggen 1-2 FC ZurichSchweizer Cup
LFC Lugano 5-0 FC ZurichSuper League
WFC Zurich 2-1 Servette FCSuper League
LFC ST. Gallen 2-1 FC ZurichSuper League
LFC Zurich 2-3 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs

FC Basel 1893

FC Basel 1893 come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Courtételle. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at home to Barcelona.

LFC Basel 1893 2-5 BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs
WCourtételle 1-6 FC Basel 1893Schweizer Cup
WFC Basel 1893 4-2 FC ThunSuper League
LFC Basel 1893 0-1 LausanneSuper League
WServette FC 0-1 FC Basel 1893Super League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Zurich at 38% to win and FC Basel 1893 at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Zurich Win	38%	@ 3.35	+26.2%
FC Basel 1893 Win	41%	@ 2.00	-17.9%
Draw	21%	@ 3.65	-22.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Zurich or Draw at 1.77 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Zurich or Draw	62%	@ 1.77	+8.9%
FC Basel 1893 or Draw	65%	@ 1.30	-15.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	50%	@ 2.30	+15.8%
Under 1.5	26%	@ 4.50	+15.2%
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.53	+10.6%
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.20	-10.7%
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.60	-20.6%
Over 3.5	28%	@ 2.45	-32.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	55%	@ 2.40	+32.5%
BTTS Yes	45%	@ 1.48	-33.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	60%
Dixon-Coles	Away	67%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.26 for the home side, 1.33 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.40 (+32.5% value).

Who is the favourite for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?

Our model makes a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893.

What is the predicted score for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.24 for FC Zurich and 1.42 for FC Basel 1893. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.