FC ZurichFC Zurich
Sat 22 Aug1-2Finished
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893

⚽ Super League

FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 in the Super League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: FC Zurich 1-2 FC Basel 1893

FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 finished 1-2. FC Basel 1893 won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Zurich face FC Basel 1893 in the Super League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Zurich have 1 win from their last 3, while FC Basel 1893 have 2 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.50
72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.24 – 1.42 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.0% 9.9% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5%
2 5.4% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9%
3 2.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
FC Zurich winDrawFC Basel 1893 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (55%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Zurich 38%Draw 21%FC Basel 1893 41%
38%21%41%
41%
FC Basel 1893 Win
50%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

FC Zurich

FC Zurich come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to FC Vaduz. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at home to BSC Young Boys.

  • DFC Sion 1-1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • WFC Zurich 2-1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • DGrasshoppers 2-2 FC ZurichSuper League
  • LFC Zurich 2-4 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • WLausanne 2-3 FC ZurichSuper League
FC Basel 1893

FC Basel 1893 come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at FC Luzern. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to FC St. Gallen.

  • LFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • WFC Luzern 2-4 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • LFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC LuganoSuper League
  • LFC Basel 1893 1-2 FC SionSuper League
  • DBSC Young Boys 3-3 FC Basel 1893Super League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Zurich at 38% to win and FC Basel 1893 at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Basel 1893 Win 41% 48% @ 1.91
FC Zurich Win 38% 27% @ 3.35
Draw 21% 25% @ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Basel 1893 or Draw at 1.26 (65% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Basel 1893 or Draw 65% 73% @ 1.26
FC Zurich or Draw 62% 52% @ 1.76

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 74% 80% @ 1.15
Under 3.5 72% 61% @ 1.50
Under 2.5 50% 40% @ 2.32
Over 2.5 50% 60% @ 1.52
Over 3.5 28% 39% @ 2.33
Under 1.5 26% 20% @ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 55% 38% @ 2.43
BTTS Yes 45% 62% @ 1.47

📈 How the market moved

21%36%51%08/1808/1908/2008/2108/22

FC Zurich 27%Draw 25%FC Basel 1893 47%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?

Our model makes a FC Basel 1893 win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893.

What is the predicted score for FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.24 for FC Zurich and 1.42 for FC Basel 1893. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.