Eibar

Sun 23 Aug1-0Finished

Valladolid

⚽ Segunda División

Eibar vs Valladolid Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eibar vs Valladolid in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Eibar 1-0 Valladolid

Eibar vs Valladolid finished 1-0. Eibar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Eibar face Valladolid in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Eibar won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.9-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eibar vs Valladolid with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.37

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.92 – 0.78 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	5.2%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
1	12.9%	10.1%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.4%	9.7%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	7.9%	6.2%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
4	3.8%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Eibar winDrawValladolid win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Eibar vs Valladolid comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Eibar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Eibar 63%Draw 22%Valladolid 15%

63%22%15%

63%

Eibar Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Eibar and Valladolid. Wins shown from Eibar’s perspective: Eibar 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Eibar	1 – 0	Valladolid	W
2026-04-13	Valladolid	0 – 0	Eibar	D

📈 Recent form

Eibar

Eibar come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Tenerife.

WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División
WEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

Valladolid

Valladolid come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Oviedo.

DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
WValladolid 1-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Eibar at 63% to win and Valladolid at 15%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Eibar Win	63%	45%	@ 2.02
Draw	22%	29%	@ 3.10
Valladolid Win	15%	26%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eibar or Draw at 1.24 (85% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Eibar or Draw	85%	74%	@ 1.24
Valladolid or Draw	36%	55%	@ 1.66

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	67%	@ 1.37
Under 3.5	71%	76%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	51%	42%	@ 2.17
Under 2.5	49%	58%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	29%	24%	@ 3.85
Under 1.5	25%	33%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	52%	@ 1.74
BTTS Yes	46%	48%	@ 1.90

📈 How the market moved

Eibar 43%Draw 31%Valladolid 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs Valladolid?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Valladolid?

Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline for Eibar vs Valladolid.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Valladolid?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.92 for Eibar and 0.78 for Valladolid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Eibar and Valladolid play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.