Hellas Verona

Sun 23 Aug1-2Finished

Ascoli

⚽ Serie B

Hellas Verona vs Ascoli Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hellas Verona vs Ascoli in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Hellas Verona 1-2 Ascoli

Hellas Verona vs Ascoli finished 1-2. Ascoli won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Hellas Verona face Ascoli in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hellas Verona vs Ascoli with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	8.1%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.8%	12.3%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.3%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.9%	4.7%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Hellas Verona winDrawAscoli win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hellas Verona vs Ascoli comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

55%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Arezzo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Benevento.

WHellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
WHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B
WCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B

Ascoli

Ascoli come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Avellino. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Padova.

WAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
LPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
WAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B
WHellas Verona 1-2 AscoliSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hellas Verona or Draw at 1.12 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hellas Verona or Draw	75%	82%	@ 1.12
Ascoli or Draw	50%	42%	@ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	70%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	71%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 2.5	55%	50%	@ 1.82
Over 2.5	45%	50%	@ 1.85
Under 1.5	29%	27%	@ 3.35
Over 3.5	24%	30%	@ 3.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	48%	49%	@ 1.84

📈 How the market moved

Hellas Verona 58%Draw 26%Ascoli 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hellas Verona vs Ascoli?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

What is the predicted score for Hellas Verona vs Ascoli?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Hellas Verona and 0.96 for Ascoli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hellas Verona and Ascoli play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.