Panetolikos

Sun 23 Aug3-1Finished

Asteras Tripolis

⚽ Super League 1

Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Panetolikos 3-1 Asteras Tripolis

Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis finished 3-1. Panetolikos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Panetolikos face Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Panetolikos won 1, Asteras Tripolis won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 0.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Asteras Tripolis or Draw @ 1.43

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.79 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	15.8%	10.8%	4.9%	1.7%
1	9.1%	12.5%	8.5%	3.9%	1.3%
2	3.6%	4.9%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%
3	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Panetolikos winDrawAsteras Tripolis win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.43, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Panetolikos 19%Draw 33%Asteras Tripolis 48%

19%33%48%

48%

Asteras Tripolis Win

63%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis. Wins shown from Panetolikos’s perspective: Panetolikos 1 · Asteras Tripolis 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Panetolikos	3 – 1	Asteras Tripolis	W
2026-05-21	Panetolikos	1 – 2	Asteras Tripolis	L
2026-04-22	Asteras Tripolis	2 – 1	Panetolikos	L

📈 Recent form

Panetolikos

Panetolikos come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Levadiakos. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to PAOK.

LPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
LPanathinaikos 3-0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
WLevadiakos 0-2 PanetolikosSuper League 1
WPanetolikos 2-0 KalamataSuper League 1
WPanetolikos 3-1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Iraklis 1908.

DOFI 2-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris ThessalonikisCup
LAsteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
LAsteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Panetolikos at 19% to win and Asteras Tripolis at 48%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Asteras Tripolis Win	48%	33%	@ 2.75
Draw	33%	31%	@ 2.95
Panetolikos Win	19%	36%	@ 2.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at 1.43 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Asteras Tripolis or Draw	77%	64%	@ 1.43
Panetolikos or Draw	48%	67%	@ 1.37

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	83%	79%	@ 1.16
Over 1.5	64%	63%	@ 1.46
Under 2.5	63%	62%	@ 1.48
Over 2.5	37%	38%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	36%	37%	@ 2.48
Over 3.5	17%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	57%	54%	@ 1.70
BTTS Yes	43%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Panetolikos 35%Draw 31%Asteras Tripolis 34%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Our model's main pick is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.43, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Our model makes an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.4 scoreline for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis.

What is the predicted score for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.79 for Panetolikos and 1.37 for Asteras Tripolis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.