⚽ Super League 1

Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Panetolikos face Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 0.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Asteras Tripolis or Draw @ 1.44

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.79 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	15.8%	10.8%	4.9%	1.7%
1	9.1%	12.5%	8.5%	3.9%	1.3%
2	3.6%	4.9%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%
3	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Panetolikos winDrawAsteras Tripolis win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points no (57%).

Best value

Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.44, 76% model probability, +10.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Panetolikos 19%Draw 33%Asteras Tripolis 48%

19%33%48%

48%

Asteras Tripolis Win

63%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

+10.2%

Best value: Asteras Tripolis or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis. Wins shown from Panetolikos’s perspective: Asteras Tripolis 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-21	Panetolikos	1 – 2	Asteras Tripolis	L
2026-04-22	Asteras Tripolis	2 – 1	Panetolikos	L

📈 Recent form

Panetolikos

Panetolikos come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Atromitos. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Kalamata.

LKalamata 4-2 PanetolikosCup
DEstac Troyes 1-1 PanetolikosFriendlies Clubs
LPanetolikos 1-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
DPanetolikos 1-1 LarisaSuper League 1
WAtromitos 1-2 PanetolikosSuper League 1

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Levadiakos.

LLevadiakos 2-0 Asteras TripolisCup
DADO Den Haag 0-0 Asteras TripolisFriendlies Clubs
DSparta Rotterdam 1-1 Asteras TripolisFriendlies Clubs
WPanetolikos 1-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 0-0 KifisiaSuper League 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Panetolikos at 19% to win and Asteras Tripolis at 48%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Asteras Tripolis Win	48%	@ 2.66	+27.4%
Draw	33%	@ 2.98	-2.6%
Panetolikos Win	19%	@ 2.66	-48.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at 1.44 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Asteras Tripolis or Draw	76%	@ 1.44	+10.2%
Panetolikos or Draw	48%	@ 1.44	-30.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	63%	@ 1.55	-1.8%
Under 3.5	83%	@ 1.18	-2.4%
Under 1.5	36%	@ 2.62	-4.5%
Over 1.5	64%	@ 1.45	-7.8%
Over 2.5	37%	@ 2.35	-13.9%
Over 3.5	17%	@ 4.50	-22.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	57%	@ 1.73	-0.8%
BTTS Yes	43%	@ 1.93	-17.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	44%
Dixon-Coles	Away	51%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.02 for the home side, 1.65 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (16%), 0-0 (14%), 0-2 (12%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Our main pick is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.44, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Our model makes an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.4 scoreline for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis.

What is the predicted score for Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.79 for Panetolikos and 1.37 for Asteras Tripolis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.